Traders are positioning 26°C as the most likely high for Mexico City on August 16, reflecting model consensus on moderate daytime heating amid the ongoing rainy season. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s baseline August maxima typically range 23–26°C, with cloud cover and afternoon convection from the North American monsoon limiting stronger warming. Recent observational data show persistent moisture and scattered showers moderating temperatures below seasonal peaks, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal uplift. Forecast guidance from regional models indicates limited diurnal range and no strong ridging to support 27°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at lower implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional readings at the central station, with final confirmation expected within 24–48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 16 août ?
26°C 60%
27°C 23%
25°C 17%
24°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
17%
26°C
60%
27°C
23%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 60%
27°C 23%
25°C 17%
24°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$20 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$583 Vol.
1%
24°C
$294 Vol.
3%
25°C
$997 Vol.
17%
26°C
$648 Vol.
60%
27°C
$479 Vol.
23%
28°C
$294 Vol.
2%
29°C
$115 Vol.
1%
30°C
$225 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$335 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are positioning 26°C as the most likely high for Mexico City on August 16, reflecting model consensus on moderate daytime heating amid the ongoing rainy season. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s baseline August maxima typically range 23–26°C, with cloud cover and afternoon convection from the North American monsoon limiting stronger warming. Recent observational data show persistent moisture and scattered showers moderating temperatures below seasonal peaks, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal uplift. Forecast guidance from regional models indicates limited diurnal range and no strong ridging to support 27°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at lower implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional readings at the central station, with final confirmation expected within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,010Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are positioning 26°C as the most likely high for Mexico City on August 16, reflecting model consensus on moderate daytime heating amid the ongoing rainy season. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s baseline August maxima typically range 23–26°C, with cloud cover and afternoon convection from the North American monsoon limiting stronger warming. Recent observational data show persistent moisture and scattered showers moderating temperatures below seasonal peaks, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal uplift. Forecast guidance from regional models indicates limited diurnal range and no strong ridging to support 27°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at lower implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional readings at the central station, with final confirmation expected within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,010Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are positioning 26°C as the most likely high for Mexico City on August 16, reflecting model consensus on moderate daytime heating amid the ongoing rainy season. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s baseline August maxima typically range 23–26°C, with cloud cover and afternoon convection from the North American monsoon limiting stronger warming. Recent observational data show persistent moisture and scattered showers moderating temperatures below seasonal peaks, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal uplift. Forecast guidance from regional models indicates limited diurnal range and no strong ridging to support 27°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at lower implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional readings at the central station, with final confirmation expected within 24–48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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