Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 16 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 16 juillet ?
25°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$61,634 Vol.
$61,634 Vol.
16 juil. 2026
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Oui
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
25°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$61,634 Vol.
$61,634 Vol.
16 juil. 2026
19°C ou moins
$3,141 Vol.
Non
20°C
$2,645 Vol.
Non
21°C
$2,487 Vol.
Non
22°C
$3,572 Vol.
Non
23°C
$5,820 Vol.
Non
24°C
$12,613 Vol.
Non
25°C
$18,910 Vol.
Oui
26°C
$4,711 Vol.
Non
27°C
$3,424 Vol.
Non
28°C
$1,764 Vol.
Non
29°C ou plus
$2,547 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$61,634Date de fin
16 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,634Date de fin
16 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes