Recent observational data from Munich weather stations confirm a daily maximum of 24°C on June 4, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that exact outcome. This aligns with regional forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service, which incorporated stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly flow limiting further warming beyond late-spring climatological averages around 22°C. Traders' consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than projections, with minimal uncertainty given the day's completion. Minor revisions to official records or station-specific readings represent the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution, though historical patterns show such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for this location and date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on June 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 4?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$80,720 Vol.
$80,720 Vol.
4 juin 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$80,720 Vol.
$80,720 Vol.
4 juin 2026
18°C or below
$5,427 Vol.
No
19°C
$254 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,414 Vol.
No
21°C
$7,559 Vol.
No
22°C
$14,859 Vol.
No
23°C
$11,265 Vol.
No
24°C
$12,487 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$11,057 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,059 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,843 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$2,494 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Munich weather stations confirm a daily maximum of 24°C on June 4, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that exact outcome. This aligns with regional forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service, which incorporated stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly flow limiting further warming beyond late-spring climatological averages around 22°C. Traders' consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than projections, with minimal uncertainty given the day's completion. Minor revisions to official records or station-specific readings represent the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution, though historical patterns show such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for this location and date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$80,720Date de fin
4 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Munich weather stations confirm a daily maximum of 24°C on June 4, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that exact outcome. This aligns with regional forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service, which incorporated stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly flow limiting further warming beyond late-spring climatological averages around 22°C. Traders' consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than projections, with minimal uncertainty given the day's completion. Minor revisions to official records or station-specific readings represent the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution, though historical patterns show such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for this location and date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80,720Date de fin
4 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent observational data from Munich weather stations confirm a daily maximum of 24°C on June 4, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that exact outcome. This aligns with regional forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service, which incorporated stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly flow limiting further warming beyond late-spring climatological averages around 22°C. Traders' consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than projections, with minimal uncertainty given the day's completion. Minor revisions to official records or station-specific readings represent the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution, though historical patterns show such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for this location and date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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