Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high of 82–85°F in New York City on August 3, keeping the two leading market outcomes nearly tied. A moist southerly flow and possible showers or thunderstorms—driven by weak shortwave energy and high boundary-layer humidity—introduce modest cooling that caps peak readings near or slightly below the 83°F August average. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF show limited upside potential above 86°F unless clearer skies and stronger insolation develop, while urban heat-island effects at Central Park measurement sites add a small positive bias. New 12Z model runs and afternoon NWS updates will refine the timing of any convection and the resulting maximum temperature.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à New York le 3 août ?
Température la plus élevée à New York le 3 août ?
82-83°F 35%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 22%
86-87°F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 35%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 22%
86-87°F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
73°F or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$136 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$92 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$77 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$151 Vol.
22%
82-83°F
$195 Vol.
35%
84-85°F
$199 Vol.
33%
86-87°F
$193 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$3,213 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$96 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$345 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high of 82–85°F in New York City on August 3, keeping the two leading market outcomes nearly tied. A moist southerly flow and possible showers or thunderstorms—driven by weak shortwave energy and high boundary-layer humidity—introduce modest cooling that caps peak readings near or slightly below the 83°F August average. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF show limited upside potential above 86°F unless clearer skies and stronger insolation develop, while urban heat-island effects at Central Park measurement sites add a small positive bias. New 12Z model runs and afternoon NWS updates will refine the timing of any convection and the resulting maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,847Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high of 82–85°F in New York City on August 3, keeping the two leading market outcomes nearly tied. A moist southerly flow and possible showers or thunderstorms—driven by weak shortwave energy and high boundary-layer humidity—introduce modest cooling that caps peak readings near or slightly below the 83°F August average. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF show limited upside potential above 86°F unless clearer skies and stronger insolation develop, while urban heat-island effects at Central Park measurement sites add a small positive bias. New 12Z model runs and afternoon NWS updates will refine the timing of any convection and the resulting maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,847Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high of 82–85°F in New York City on August 3, keeping the two leading market outcomes nearly tied. A moist southerly flow and possible showers or thunderstorms—driven by weak shortwave energy and high boundary-layer humidity—introduce modest cooling that caps peak readings near or slightly below the 83°F August average. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF show limited upside potential above 86°F unless clearer skies and stronger insolation develop, while urban heat-island effects at Central Park measurement sites add a small positive bias. New 12Z model runs and afternoon NWS updates will refine the timing of any convection and the resulting maximum temperature.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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