Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44% implied probability for a high of 31°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City on April 19, reflecting the latest global forecast model runs (GFS, ECMWF) projecting peaks near 31°C amid a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud interference. This positions 30°C (21.5%) and 29°C (12%) as trailing outcomes, as slight increases in humidity and potential isolated convection—hallmarks of the dry-to-wet season transition—could temper maxima, per recent model ensembles showing low-end spread to 29-30°C. April climatology at the airport averages 32°C highs with rare dips below 29°C, underscoring low baseline uncertainty; watch for updated guidance from Panama's Empresa de Transmisión Eléctrica meteorological service by midday April 18.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
31°C or higher 50%
29°C 18%
30°C 17%
28°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
18%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
59%
31°C or higher 50%
29°C 18%
30°C 17%
28°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
21°C or below
$595 Vol.
1%
22°C
$538 Vol.
1%
23°C
$340 Vol.
1%
24°C
$279 Vol.
1%
25°C
$244 Vol.
1%
26°C
$244 Vol.
1%
27°C
$9 Vol.
4%
28°C
$15 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
17%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44% implied probability for a high of 31°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City on April 19, reflecting the latest global forecast model runs (GFS, ECMWF) projecting peaks near 31°C amid a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud interference. This positions 30°C (21.5%) and 29°C (12%) as trailing outcomes, as slight increases in humidity and potential isolated convection—hallmarks of the dry-to-wet season transition—could temper maxima, per recent model ensembles showing low-end spread to 29-30°C. April climatology at the airport averages 32°C highs with rare dips below 29°C, underscoring low baseline uncertainty; watch for updated guidance from Panama's Empresa de Transmisión Eléctrica meteorological service by midday April 18.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volume
$583Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44% implied probability for a high of 31°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City on April 19, reflecting the latest global forecast model runs (GFS, ECMWF) projecting peaks near 31°C amid a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud interference. This positions 30°C (21.5%) and 29°C (12%) as trailing outcomes, as slight increases in humidity and potential isolated convection—hallmarks of the dry-to-wet season transition—could temper maxima, per recent model ensembles showing low-end spread to 29-30°C. April climatology at the airport averages 32°C highs with rare dips below 29°C, underscoring low baseline uncertainty; watch for updated guidance from Panama's Empresa de Transmisión Eléctrica meteorological service by midday April 18.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$583Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44% implied probability for a high of 31°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City on April 19, reflecting the latest global forecast model runs (GFS, ECMWF) projecting peaks near 31°C amid a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud interference. This positions 30°C (21.5%) and 29°C (12%) as trailing outcomes, as slight increases in humidity and potential isolated convection—hallmarks of the dry-to-wet season transition—could temper maxima, per recent model ensembles showing low-end spread to 29-30°C. April climatology at the airport averages 32°C highs with rare dips below 29°C, underscoring low baseline uncertainty; watch for updated guidance from Panama's Empresa de Transmisión Eléctrica meteorological service by midday April 18.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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