Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 68-69°F (39.5% implied probability) in San Francisco on April 17, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service guidance showing peak afternoon readings near 68°F under partly sunny skies with west winds 10-15 mph moderating coastal cooling from persistent marine layer influence. Recent days featured highs in the low 60s, like 62°F on April 13 at SFO, but model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) indicate slight warming from high pressure building inland, reducing overnight lows to around 48°F. Historical mid-April averages hover at 64°F, with current setup reflecting typical spring variability; updated NWS forecasts expected midday April 16 could refine probabilities amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
68-69°F 40%
66-67°F 23%
64-65°F 17%
70-71°F 13%
$20,181 Vol.
$20,181 Vol.
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 40%
66-67°F 23%
64-65°F 17%
70-71°F 13%
$20,181 Vol.
$20,181 Vol.
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 68-69°F (39.5% implied probability) in San Francisco on April 17, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service guidance showing peak afternoon readings near 68°F under partly sunny skies with west winds 10-15 mph moderating coastal cooling from persistent marine layer influence. Recent days featured highs in the low 60s, like 62°F on April 13 at SFO, but model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) indicate slight warming from high pressure building inland, reducing overnight lows to around 48°F. Historical mid-April averages hover at 64°F, with current setup reflecting typical spring variability; updated NWS forecasts expected midday April 16 could refine probabilities amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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