Trader consensus on Seattle's March 25 high temperature tilts toward 48-55°F, with 48-49°F leading at 30% amid closely bunched odds reflecting model ensemble uncertainty from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF runs projecting peaks near 50°F. Differentiating factors include variable marine stratus clouds suppressing daytime heating in Seattle's cool, moist Puget Sound climate—persistent low-level onshore flow caps highs below 52°F in recent 12Z guidance—while slight boundary layer mixing or afternoon clearing could nudge toward 52-53°F. Historical March averages hover at 54°F, but this year's amplified jet stream trough favors cooler outcomes; watch 00Z updates for resolution-shifting details on instability and solar insolation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
48-49°F 30%
50-51°F 29%
52-53°F 26%
54-55°F 16%
39°F or below
4%
40-41°F
9%
42-43°F
9%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
30%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
10%
58°F or higher
9%
48-49°F 30%
50-51°F 29%
52-53°F 26%
54-55°F 16%
39°F or below
4%
40-41°F
9%
42-43°F
9%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
30%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
10%
58°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Seattle's March 25 high temperature tilts toward 48-55°F, with 48-49°F leading at 30% amid closely bunched odds reflecting model ensemble uncertainty from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF runs projecting peaks near 50°F. Differentiating factors include variable marine stratus clouds suppressing daytime heating in Seattle's cool, moist Puget Sound climate—persistent low-level onshore flow caps highs below 52°F in recent 12Z guidance—while slight boundary layer mixing or afternoon clearing could nudge toward 52-53°F. Historical March averages hover at 54°F, but this year's amplified jet stream trough favors cooler outcomes; watch 00Z updates for resolution-shifting details on instability and solar insolation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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