Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 52-53°F (34.5%) as Seattle's highest temperature on March 22, narrowly ahead of 50-51°F (29.5%), driven by the latest NWS Seattle forecast projecting a high near 52°F amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and persistent Puget Sound marine influence. Key differentiators include variable low cloud cover from overnight stratus decks, which could suppress peaks below 52°F, versus potential afternoon clearing under weak high-pressure ridging nudging toward 54°F as hinted in GFS and ECMWF 12z ensembles averaging 51-52°F. March climatology shows typical highs around 53°F, but this season's cooler La Niña baseline adds downward pressure, with evening model runs pivotal for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 22 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 22 mars ?
52-53°F 33%
50-51°F 29%
54-55 °F 18%
48-49°F 9%
45°F ou moins
1%
46-47 °F
1%
48-49°F
9%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
33%
54-55 °F
18%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F ou plus
1%
52-53°F 33%
50-51°F 29%
54-55 °F 18%
48-49°F 9%
45°F ou moins
1%
46-47 °F
1%
48-49°F
9%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
33%
54-55 °F
18%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 52-53°F (34.5%) as Seattle's highest temperature on March 22, narrowly ahead of 50-51°F (29.5%), driven by the latest NWS Seattle forecast projecting a high near 52°F amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and persistent Puget Sound marine influence. Key differentiators include variable low cloud cover from overnight stratus decks, which could suppress peaks below 52°F, versus potential afternoon clearing under weak high-pressure ridging nudging toward 54°F as hinted in GFS and ECMWF 12z ensembles averaging 51-52°F. March climatology shows typical highs around 53°F, but this season's cooler La Niña baseline adds downward pressure, with evening model runs pivotal for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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