Trader consensus on Milan's highest temperature on March 24 clusters tightly around 18-19°C at over 21% implied odds each, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing peaks in that range under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Mediterranean. This setup advects mild southerly airflow, boosting temperatures well above the March 24 historical average of 13-14°C at Milan Linate Airport. Differentiating factors include potential overnight cloud cover suppressing 20°C+ outcomes (17-18% odds) versus clearer skies enabling them, while 16-17°C (18-19.5%) hinges on any late northerly wind shift; a key 00Z model update tonight could refine these edges amid typical spring forecast divergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on March 24?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 24?
18°C 22%
19°C 22%
17°C 19%
16°C 18%
12°C or below
9%
13°C
9%
14°C
15%
15°C
16%
16°C
18%
17°C
19%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
18%
21°C
17%
22°C or higher
17%
18°C 22%
19°C 22%
17°C 19%
16°C 18%
12°C or below
9%
13°C
9%
14°C
15%
15°C
16%
16°C
18%
17°C
19%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
18%
21°C
17%
22°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:27 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Milan's highest temperature on March 24 clusters tightly around 18-19°C at over 21% implied odds each, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing peaks in that range under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Mediterranean. This setup advects mild southerly airflow, boosting temperatures well above the March 24 historical average of 13-14°C at Milan Linate Airport. Differentiating factors include potential overnight cloud cover suppressing 20°C+ outcomes (17-18% odds) versus clearer skies enabling them, while 16-17°C (18-19.5%) hinges on any late northerly wind shift; a key 00Z model update tonight could refine these edges amid typical spring forecast divergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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