Trader sentiment for Taipei's March 24 high temperature splits evenly between cool outcomes like 21°C or below (25.5%) and hot ones like 31°C or higher (25.5%), driven by divergent global weather models amid a transitional spring pattern. The Central Weather Administration's forecast points to a 26-27°C peak under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the 27°C option at 24.5%, but GFS ensembles imply hotter advection from the south up to 30°C while ECMWF favors cooler northerly flows around 22-25°C due to a lingering cold front. Historical March 24 highs average 23°C with high interannual variability from frontal timing and subtropical ridge strength, amplifying uncertainty as final 12Z model runs loom.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on March 24?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 24?
21°C or below 26%
31°C or higher 26%
27°C 25%
26°C 22%
21°C or below
26%
22°C
12%
23°C
15%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
22%
27°C
25%
28°C
18%
29°C
15%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
26%
21°C or below 26%
31°C or higher 26%
27°C 25%
26°C 22%
21°C or below
26%
22°C
12%
23°C
15%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
22%
27°C
25%
28°C
18%
29°C
15%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Taipei's March 24 high temperature splits evenly between cool outcomes like 21°C or below (25.5%) and hot ones like 31°C or higher (25.5%), driven by divergent global weather models amid a transitional spring pattern. The Central Weather Administration's forecast points to a 26-27°C peak under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the 27°C option at 24.5%, but GFS ensembles imply hotter advection from the south up to 30°C while ECMWF favors cooler northerly flows around 22-25°C due to a lingering cold front. Historical March 24 highs average 23°C with high interannual variability from frontal timing and subtropical ridge strength, amplifying uncertainty as final 12Z model runs loom.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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