Traders heavily favor a 19°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24 at 32% implied probability, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF forecasts projecting peaks between 18-20°C under mild Mediterranean high-pressure influence. This consensus reflects a recent cooling trend from mid-March warmth, with historical March averages around 20°C providing baseline context. Key variables include southerly winds potentially boosting temps to 21°C+ (16.5% odds) via warmer advection, versus northerly sea breezes capping at 16-18°C (34.5% combined); cloud cover and diurnal solar heating add uncertainty, as models diverge on overnight lows recovering to 14-16°C. High distribution spread underscores forecast volatility ahead of final 12Z updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24?
19°C 33%
20°C 22%
18°C 18%
16°C 17%
13°C or below
8%
14°C
8%
15°C
15%
16°C
17%
17°C
17%
18°C
18%
19°C
32%
20°C
22%
21°C
17%
22°C
12%
23°C or higher
10%
19°C 33%
20°C 22%
18°C 18%
16°C 17%
13°C or below
8%
14°C
8%
15°C
15%
16°C
17%
17°C
17%
18°C
18%
19°C
32%
20°C
22%
21°C
17%
22°C
12%
23°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor a 19°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24 at 32% implied probability, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF forecasts projecting peaks between 18-20°C under mild Mediterranean high-pressure influence. This consensus reflects a recent cooling trend from mid-March warmth, with historical March averages around 20°C providing baseline context. Key variables include southerly winds potentially boosting temps to 21°C+ (16.5% odds) via warmer advection, versus northerly sea breezes capping at 16-18°C (34.5% combined); cloud cover and diurnal solar heating add uncertainty, as models diverge on overnight lows recovering to 14-16°C. High distribution spread underscores forecast volatility ahead of final 12Z updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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