Trader sentiment favors 21°C (36%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 20, narrowly ahead of 22°C (28.5%), reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models clustering daytime maxima between 20-22°C under mild Mediterranean high-pressure influence. Recent model runs indicate subtle upper-air ridging and warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures around 18°C elevating baseline expectations above the historical March 20 average of 19.5°C, while light southerly winds enhance afternoon heating. Differentiating factors include potential sea-breeze moderation and partial cloud cover capping peaks at 21°C versus clearer skies permitting 22°C; the Israel Meteorological Service's next update could refine these tight odds amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 20?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 20?
21°C 36%
22°C 29%
20°C 18%
23°C 7.9%
$26,480 Vol.
$26,480 Vol.
17°C or below
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
18%
21°C
36%
22°C
29%
23°C
8%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 36%
22°C 29%
20°C 18%
23°C 7.9%
$26,480 Vol.
$26,480 Vol.
17°C or below
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
18%
21°C
36%
22°C
29%
23°C
8%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 21°C (36%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 20, narrowly ahead of 22°C (28.5%), reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models clustering daytime maxima between 20-22°C under mild Mediterranean high-pressure influence. Recent model runs indicate subtle upper-air ridging and warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures around 18°C elevating baseline expectations above the historical March 20 average of 19.5°C, while light southerly winds enhance afternoon heating. Differentiating factors include potential sea-breeze moderation and partial cloud cover capping peaks at 21°C versus clearer skies permitting 22°C; the Israel Meteorological Service's next update could refine these tight odds amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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