Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly forecasts and real-time observations at Seoul's official station confirm a daytime maximum temperature of 20°C on May 13, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid mid-May climatological norms of 19–22°C highs. Persistent cloud cover has limited solar insolation and convective warming, capping peak heating despite light southerly winds, with aviation meteorology data aligning on 20°C through late afternoon. This reflects model agreement on stable upper-air conditions lacking triggers for intensification. Final KMA data release later today will resolve the market, though a realistic challenge could arise from abrupt clearing allowing a brief 1°C overshoot, improbable given current overcast persistence and no heat wave signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on May 13?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 13?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$278,981 Vol.
$278,981 Vol.
13 mai 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$278,981 Vol.
$278,981 Vol.
13 mai 2026
13°C or below
$10,717 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,039 Vol.
No
15°C
$9,965 Vol.
No
16°C
$11,361 Vol.
No
17°C
$20,455 Vol.
No
18°C
$13,272 Vol.
No
19°C
$17,022 Vol.
No
20°C
$73,874 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$35,315 Vol.
No
22°C
$27,478 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$58,483 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly forecasts and real-time observations at Seoul's official station confirm a daytime maximum temperature of 20°C on May 13, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid mid-May climatological norms of 19–22°C highs. Persistent cloud cover has limited solar insolation and convective warming, capping peak heating despite light southerly winds, with aviation meteorology data aligning on 20°C through late afternoon. This reflects model agreement on stable upper-air conditions lacking triggers for intensification. Final KMA data release later today will resolve the market, though a realistic challenge could arise from abrupt clearing allowing a brief 1°C overshoot, improbable given current overcast persistence and no heat wave signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$278,981Date de fin
13 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly forecasts and real-time observations at Seoul's official station confirm a daytime maximum temperature of 20°C on May 13, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid mid-May climatological norms of 19–22°C highs. Persistent cloud cover has limited solar insolation and convective warming, capping peak heating despite light southerly winds, with aviation meteorology data aligning on 20°C through late afternoon. This reflects model agreement on stable upper-air conditions lacking triggers for intensification. Final KMA data release later today will resolve the market, though a realistic challenge could arise from abrupt clearing allowing a brief 1°C overshoot, improbable given current overcast persistence and no heat wave signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$278,981Date de fin
13 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly forecasts and real-time observations at Seoul's official station confirm a daytime maximum temperature of 20°C on May 13, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid mid-May climatological norms of 19–22°C highs. Persistent cloud cover has limited solar insolation and convective warming, capping peak heating despite light southerly winds, with aviation meteorology data aligning on 20°C through late afternoon. This reflects model agreement on stable upper-air conditions lacking triggers for intensification. Final KMA data release later today will resolve the market, though a realistic challenge could arise from abrupt clearing allowing a brief 1°C overshoot, improbable given current overcast persistence and no heat wave signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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