Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 17 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 17 juin ?
27°C 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$125,532 Vol.
$125,532 Vol.
17 juin 2026
23°C ou moins
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Oui
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C ou plus
Non
27°C 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$125,532 Vol.
$125,532 Vol.
17 juin 2026
23°C ou moins
$1,205 Vol.
Non
24°C
$1,859 Vol.
Non
25°C
$15,466 Vol.
Non
26°C
$12,800 Vol.
Non
27°C
$22,362 Vol.
Oui
28°C
$14,124 Vol.
Non
29°C
$12,099 Vol.
Non
30°C
$9,920 Vol.
Non
31°C
$11,330 Vol.
Non
32°C
$13,457 Vol.
Non
33°C ou plus
$10,909 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$125,532Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$125,532Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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