Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models, including Met Office guidance, currently indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under stable high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer coastal conditions. This consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability and no significant synoptic shifts, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (70.5%) and 32°C (19.5%). Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized sea-breeze effects keeps a modest probability on 34°C. Updated IMS briefings and the next model cycle tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 16 août ?
33°C 71%
32°C 20%
34°C 9%
31°C 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
71%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 71%
32°C 20%
34°C 9%
31°C 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
29°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$476 Vol.
1%
31°C
$167 Vol.
2%
32°C
$798 Vol.
20%
33°C
$945 Vol.
71%
34°C
$429 Vol.
9%
35°C
$215 Vol.
2%
36°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$441 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models, including Met Office guidance, currently indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under stable high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer coastal conditions. This consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability and no significant synoptic shifts, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (70.5%) and 32°C (19.5%). Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized sea-breeze effects keeps a modest probability on 34°C. Updated IMS briefings and the next model cycle tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,364Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models, including Met Office guidance, currently indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under stable high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer coastal conditions. This consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability and no significant synoptic shifts, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (70.5%) and 32°C (19.5%). Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized sea-breeze effects keeps a modest probability on 34°C. Updated IMS briefings and the next model cycle tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,364Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models, including Met Office guidance, currently indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under stable high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer coastal conditions. This consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability and no significant synoptic shifts, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (70.5%) and 32°C (19.5%). Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized sea-breeze effects keeps a modest probability on 34°C. Updated IMS briefings and the next model cycle tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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