Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on June 3 under clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and negligible cloud cover, with real-time surface observations tracking directly toward this threshold. This alignment of model consensus and early-day readings underpins the market-implied 100% probability on 32°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of minimal deviation risk given the stable synoptic pattern. Minor shifts in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat effects remain the primary variables that could alter the recorded high before resolution, though current conditions indicate low likelihood of such changes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 3 juin ?
32°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,825 Vol.
$49,825 Vol.
24°C ou moins
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Oui
33°C
Non
34°C ou plus
Non
32°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,825 Vol.
$49,825 Vol.
24°C ou moins
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Oui
33°C
Non
34°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on June 3 under clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and negligible cloud cover, with real-time surface observations tracking directly toward this threshold. This alignment of model consensus and early-day readings underpins the market-implied 100% probability on 32°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of minimal deviation risk given the stable synoptic pattern. Minor shifts in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat effects remain the primary variables that could alter the recorded high before resolution, though current conditions indicate low likelihood of such changes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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