Current forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 25 project daytime maximum temperatures of 32–34 °C under typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure conditions, aligning with historical August averages near 33 °C and supporting the 92 % market-implied probability for 32 °C or higher. Recent model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate indicates limited diurnal cooling and modest moisture, keeping afternoon readings elevated despite possible isolated showers. Trader positioning reflects this strong baseline plus the low historical frequency of sub-32 °C peaks in central Henan during peak monsoon season. A realistic shift below threshold would require an unseasonal surge of cooler northerly air or persistent cloud cover that suppresses insolation, though such deviations remain uncommon this late in August.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 25 août ?
32°C or higher 94%
31°C 10%
30°C 1.6%
25°C 1.3%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
94%
32°C or higher 94%
31°C 10%
30°C 1.6%
25°C 1.3%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 25 project daytime maximum temperatures of 32–34 °C under typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure conditions, aligning with historical August averages near 33 °C and supporting the 92 % market-implied probability for 32 °C or higher. Recent model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate indicates limited diurnal cooling and modest moisture, keeping afternoon readings elevated despite possible isolated showers. Trader positioning reflects this strong baseline plus the low historical frequency of sub-32 °C peaks in central Henan during peak monsoon season. A realistic shift below threshold would require an unseasonal surge of cooler northerly air or persistent cloud cover that suppresses insolation, though such deviations remain uncommon this late in August.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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