Traders overwhelmingly favor 32°C or higher for Zhengzhou's peak temperature on August 24 because official forecasts from meteorological models project daytime highs of 32–34°C under typical late-summer conditions in the North China Plain. This aligns with climatological averages for August, when subtropical high pressure and warm advection commonly drive maxima near 33°C, with recent model consensus showing limited cooling despite scattered showers and moderate humidity. The 99.9% implied probability reflects high confidence in verified observations exceeding the threshold, though an unusually strong frontal system or rapid moisture influx could theoretically suppress readings below 32°C. Official station data will determine resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 24 août ?
32°C or higher 99.9%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.9%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
22°C or below
$225 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$757 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$391 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$326 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders overwhelmingly favor 32°C or higher for Zhengzhou's peak temperature on August 24 because official forecasts from meteorological models project daytime highs of 32–34°C under typical late-summer conditions in the North China Plain. This aligns with climatological averages for August, when subtropical high pressure and warm advection commonly drive maxima near 33°C, with recent model consensus showing limited cooling despite scattered showers and moderate humidity. The 99.9% implied probability reflects high confidence in verified observations exceeding the threshold, though an unusually strong frontal system or rapid moisture influx could theoretically suppress readings below 32°C. Official station data will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,190Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders overwhelmingly favor 32°C or higher for Zhengzhou's peak temperature on August 24 because official forecasts from meteorological models project daytime highs of 32–34°C under typical late-summer conditions in the North China Plain. This aligns with climatological averages for August, when subtropical high pressure and warm advection commonly drive maxima near 33°C, with recent model consensus showing limited cooling despite scattered showers and moderate humidity. The 99.9% implied probability reflects high confidence in verified observations exceeding the threshold, though an unusually strong frontal system or rapid moisture influx could theoretically suppress readings below 32°C. Official station data will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,190Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly favor 32°C or higher for Zhengzhou's peak temperature on August 24 because official forecasts from meteorological models project daytime highs of 32–34°C under typical late-summer conditions in the North China Plain. This aligns with climatological averages for August, when subtropical high pressure and warm advection commonly drive maxima near 33°C, with recent model consensus showing limited cooling despite scattered showers and moderate humidity. The 99.9% implied probability reflects high confidence in verified observations exceeding the threshold, though an unusually strong frontal system or rapid moisture influx could theoretically suppress readings below 32°C. Official station data will determine resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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