Persistent inflation pressures, with July PCE holding near 3.7% year-over-year and core measures around 3.3%, alongside the July FOMC's 9-3 vote featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring a 25-basis-point hike, anchor trader expectations for continued internal divisions at the September 15-16 meeting. The wide dispersion across outcomes—led by three dissents at 31% implied probability—reflects uncertainty over whether additional voting members will align with the hawks amid mixed labor data and energy price risks, or whether softer incoming CPI and employment figures could consolidate support for the current 3.50-3.75% federal funds range. Upcoming releases before mid-September remain the key swing factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed de septembre ?
3 31%
2 20%
4+ 20%
1 19%
0
15%
1
19%
2
20%
3
31%
4+
20%
3 31%
2 20%
4+ 20%
1 19%
0
15%
1
19%
2
20%
3
31%
4+
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation pressures, with July PCE holding near 3.7% year-over-year and core measures around 3.3%, alongside the July FOMC's 9-3 vote featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring a 25-basis-point hike, anchor trader expectations for continued internal divisions at the September 15-16 meeting. The wide dispersion across outcomes—led by three dissents at 31% implied probability—reflects uncertainty over whether additional voting members will align with the hawks amid mixed labor data and energy price risks, or whether softer incoming CPI and employment figures could consolidate support for the current 3.50-3.75% federal funds range. Upcoming releases before mid-September remain the key swing factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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