Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in the posting frequency of @khamenei_ir, the official X account now dedicated to archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following his March 2026 assassination amid U.S.-Israel strikes. Recent weeks show low and variable activity—only two posts April 7–14, five April 1–7, and four late March—driving tight odds among <5 (26%), 10–14 (28%), and higher buckets like 35–39 (23%), as traders weigh post-death transition dynamics. New leader Mojtaba Khamenei's reported injuries and public absence fuel speculation on communication cadence, with potential separation from regime stabilization, his recovery announcements, regional escalations prompting statements, or commemorative events during April 17–24.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKhamenei # posts 17 avril - 24 avril 2026 ?
Khamenei # posts 17 avril - 24 avril 2026 ?
10-14 28.1%
35-39 22.9%
20-24 14.6%
60+ 14.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 avr. 2026
<5
22%
5-9
10%
10-14
28%
15-19
9%
20-24
15%
25-29
25%
30-34
2%
35-39
23%
40-44
3%
45-49
2%
50-54
5%
55-59
1%
60+
10%
10-14 28.1%
35-39 22.9%
20-24 14.6%
60+ 14.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 avr. 2026
<5
$262 Vol.
22%
5-9
$263 Vol.
10%
10-14
$274 Vol.
28%
15-19
$219 Vol.
9%
20-24
$235 Vol.
15%
25-29
$256 Vol.
25%
30-34
$190 Vol.
2%
35-39
$207 Vol.
23%
40-44
$233 Vol.
3%
45-49
$239 Vol.
2%
50-54
$230 Vol.
5%
55-59
$225 Vol.
1%
60+
$262 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in the posting frequency of @khamenei_ir, the official X account now dedicated to archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following his March 2026 assassination amid U.S.-Israel strikes. Recent weeks show low and variable activity—only two posts April 7–14, five April 1–7, and four late March—driving tight odds among <5 (26%), 10–14 (28%), and higher buckets like 35–39 (23%), as traders weigh post-death transition dynamics. New leader Mojtaba Khamenei's reported injuries and public absence fuel speculation on communication cadence, with potential separation from regime stabilization, his recovery announcements, regional escalations prompting statements, or commemorative events during April 17–24.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$3,094Date de fin
24 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in the posting frequency of @khamenei_ir, the official X account now dedicated to archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following his March 2026 assassination amid U.S.-Israel strikes. Recent weeks show low and variable activity—only two posts April 7–14, five April 1–7, and four late March—driving tight odds among <5 (26%), 10–14 (28%), and higher buckets like 35–39 (23%), as traders weigh post-death transition dynamics. New leader Mojtaba Khamenei's reported injuries and public absence fuel speculation on communication cadence, with potential separation from regime stabilization, his recovery announcements, regional escalations prompting statements, or commemorative events during April 17–24.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,094Date de fin
24 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in the posting frequency of @khamenei_ir, the official X account now dedicated to archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following his March 2026 assassination amid U.S.-Israel strikes. Recent weeks show low and variable activity—only two posts April 7–14, five April 1–7, and four late March—driving tight odds among <5 (26%), 10–14 (28%), and higher buckets like 35–39 (23%), as traders weigh post-death transition dynamics. New leader Mojtaba Khamenei's reported injuries and public absence fuel speculation on communication cadence, with potential separation from regime stabilization, his recovery announcements, regional escalations prompting statements, or commemorative events during April 17–24.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes