Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on September 2 likely ranging from 13–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation chances. This central tendency aligns with historical September averages near 13°C overnight lows, yet model spreads and potential Atlantic front influences create uncertainty that traders price into elevated implied probabilities for both sub-10°C outcomes (45.5%) and warmer 19°C+ readings (34.5%). Recent stability in high-pressure setups has kept cooler scenarios in play without major shifts over the past 48 hours, while upcoming model runs and observational updates near landfall timing will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 2 septembre ?
9°C or below 91%
19°C or higher 69%
18°C 30%
14°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
9°C or below
91%
10°C
20%
11°C
24%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
30%
19°C or higher
69%
9°C or below 91%
19°C or higher 69%
18°C 30%
14°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
91%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$0 Vol.
24%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$5 Vol.
30%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on September 2 likely ranging from 13–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation chances. This central tendency aligns with historical September averages near 13°C overnight lows, yet model spreads and potential Atlantic front influences create uncertainty that traders price into elevated implied probabilities for both sub-10°C outcomes (45.5%) and warmer 19°C+ readings (34.5%). Recent stability in high-pressure setups has kept cooler scenarios in play without major shifts over the past 48 hours, while upcoming model runs and observational updates near landfall timing will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$15Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on September 2 likely ranging from 13–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation chances. This central tendency aligns with historical September averages near 13°C overnight lows, yet model spreads and potential Atlantic front influences create uncertainty that traders price into elevated implied probabilities for both sub-10°C outcomes (45.5%) and warmer 19°C+ readings (34.5%). Recent stability in high-pressure setups has kept cooler scenarios in play without major shifts over the past 48 hours, while upcoming model runs and observational updates near landfall timing will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on September 2 likely ranging from 13–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation chances. This central tendency aligns with historical September averages near 13°C overnight lows, yet model spreads and potential Atlantic front influences create uncertainty that traders price into elevated implied probabilities for both sub-10°C outcomes (45.5%) and warmer 19°C+ readings (34.5%). Recent stability in high-pressure setups has kept cooler scenarios in play without major shifts over the past 48 hours, while upcoming model runs and observational updates near landfall timing will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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