Recent observational data from Buenos Aires stations, including overnight readings near 6–7°C under clear skies and southeasterly winds, form the main driver behind the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 4–7°C. Radiative cooling during the night, combined with dry air and light winds, promoted efficient heat loss from the surface, while a modest cold-air mass kept daytime highs modest. Model guidance and station reports show minor variations in exact minimums depending on siting and timing, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even split among the leading outcomes rather than a decisive lean. Official verification from the primary meteorological station will resolve the market once final hourly data are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 15 septembre ?
7°C 99.5%
4°C ou moins 1.0%
6°C 1.0%
8°C <1%
$1,333 Vol.
$1,333 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
4°C ou moins
Non
5°C
Non
6°C
Non
7°C
Oui
8°C
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C ou plus
Non
7°C 99.5%
4°C ou moins 1.0%
6°C 1.0%
8°C <1%
$1,333 Vol.
$1,333 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
4°C ou moins
$79 Vol.
Non
5°C
$69 Vol.
Non
6°C
$74 Vol.
Non
7°C
$245 Vol.
Oui
8°C
$182 Vol.
Non
9°C
$646 Vol.
Non
10°C
$0 Vol.
Non
11°C
$0 Vol.
Non
12°C
$0 Vol.
Non
13°C
$22 Vol.
Non
14°C ou plus
$16 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Buenos Aires stations, including overnight readings near 6–7°C under clear skies and southeasterly winds, form the main driver behind the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 4–7°C. Radiative cooling during the night, combined with dry air and light winds, promoted efficient heat loss from the surface, while a modest cold-air mass kept daytime highs modest. Model guidance and station reports show minor variations in exact minimums depending on siting and timing, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even split among the leading outcomes rather than a decisive lean. Official verification from the primary meteorological station will resolve the market once final hourly data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,333Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Buenos Aires stations, including overnight readings near 6–7°C under clear skies and southeasterly winds, form the main driver behind the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 4–7°C. Radiative cooling during the night, combined with dry air and light winds, promoted efficient heat loss from the surface, while a modest cold-air mass kept daytime highs modest. Model guidance and station reports show minor variations in exact minimums depending on siting and timing, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even split among the leading outcomes rather than a decisive lean. Official verification from the primary meteorological station will resolve the market once final hourly data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,333Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent observational data from Buenos Aires stations, including overnight readings near 6–7°C under clear skies and southeasterly winds, form the main driver behind the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 4–7°C. Radiative cooling during the night, combined with dry air and light winds, promoted efficient heat loss from the surface, while a modest cold-air mass kept daytime highs modest. Model guidance and station reports show minor variations in exact minimums depending on siting and timing, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even split among the leading outcomes rather than a decisive lean. Official verification from the primary meteorological station will resolve the market once final hourly data are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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