Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate a minimum temperature on September 1 likely between 8–11°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies promoting radiative cooling overnight and light southerly winds limiting warm advection from the ocean. Official guidance and ensemble models show stable high pressure with dew points near 6–9°C, favoring the clustered market odds around 7–9°C as traders weigh slight variations in cloud cover and timing of the daily low. Seasonal spring transition from cooler August conditions supports this range, consistent with historical averages near 11°C, though minor model disagreements on wind shifts or brief high-level moisture introduce the observed tight spread among 6–10°C outcomes. Updated forecasts through the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse au Cap le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus basse au Cap le 1er septembre ?
8°C 29%
7°C 27%
9°C 27%
6°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
4°C or below
5%
5°C
23%
6°C
26%
7°C
27%
8°C
29%
9°C
27%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
8%
13°C
16%
14°C or higher
2%
8°C 29%
7°C 27%
9°C 27%
6°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
4°C or below
$130 Vol.
5%
5°C
$0 Vol.
23%
6°C
$0 Vol.
26%
7°C
$0 Vol.
27%
8°C
$0 Vol.
29%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$75 Vol.
8%
13°C
$265 Vol.
16%
14°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate a minimum temperature on September 1 likely between 8–11°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies promoting radiative cooling overnight and light southerly winds limiting warm advection from the ocean. Official guidance and ensemble models show stable high pressure with dew points near 6–9°C, favoring the clustered market odds around 7–9°C as traders weigh slight variations in cloud cover and timing of the daily low. Seasonal spring transition from cooler August conditions supports this range, consistent with historical averages near 11°C, though minor model disagreements on wind shifts or brief high-level moisture introduce the observed tight spread among 6–10°C outcomes. Updated forecasts through the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$475Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate a minimum temperature on September 1 likely between 8–11°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies promoting radiative cooling overnight and light southerly winds limiting warm advection from the ocean. Official guidance and ensemble models show stable high pressure with dew points near 6–9°C, favoring the clustered market odds around 7–9°C as traders weigh slight variations in cloud cover and timing of the daily low. Seasonal spring transition from cooler August conditions supports this range, consistent with historical averages near 11°C, though minor model disagreements on wind shifts or brief high-level moisture introduce the observed tight spread among 6–10°C outcomes. Updated forecasts through the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$475Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate a minimum temperature on September 1 likely between 8–11°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies promoting radiative cooling overnight and light southerly winds limiting warm advection from the ocean. Official guidance and ensemble models show stable high pressure with dew points near 6–9°C, favoring the clustered market odds around 7–9°C as traders weigh slight variations in cloud cover and timing of the daily low. Seasonal spring transition from cooler August conditions supports this range, consistent with historical averages near 11°C, though minor model disagreements on wind shifts or brief high-level moisture introduce the observed tight spread among 6–10°C outcomes. Updated forecasts through the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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