**Forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a minimum temperature of 16°C for Jinan on September 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds limiting overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple runs show overnight lows stabilizing near 14–16°C (57–61°F), consistent with early autumn climatology for the region where typical September minima hover around 18°C but recent cooler air advection has lowered readings. With the trading day advanced and little model spread remaining, the 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects high confidence in official station measurements. Only a sharper-than-expected clear-out or localized microclimate effect at the reporting site could realistically shift the recorded low.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Jinan le 9 septembre ?
16°C 99.0%
14°C 9%
13°C 7%
12°C ou moins 5%
$902 Vol.
$902 Vol.
12°C ou moins
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Oui
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C ou plus
Non
16°C 99.0%
14°C 9%
13°C 7%
12°C ou moins 5%
$902 Vol.
$902 Vol.
12°C ou moins
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Oui
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C ou plus
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a minimum temperature of 16°C for Jinan on September 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds limiting overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple runs show overnight lows stabilizing near 14–16°C (57–61°F), consistent with early autumn climatology for the region where typical September minima hover around 18°C but recent cooler air advection has lowered readings. With the trading day advanced and little model spread remaining, the 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects high confidence in official station measurements. Only a sharper-than-expected clear-out or localized microclimate effect at the reporting site could realistically shift the recorded low.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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