Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Manila's overnight low on September 12 will settle near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's strong 90% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity near 85–90%, light variable winds under 5 knots, and extensive cloud cover from the ongoing monsoon pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to the seasonal tropical baseline of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show no significant cool-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would drive readings to 24°C or below, while the absence of extreme daytime heating caps the chance of an anomalously mild night above 27°C. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance from agencies tracking these stable conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 12 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 12 septembre ?
26°C 99.5%
21°C ou moins 99%
25°C 94%
22°C 7.8%
$540 Vol.
$540 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Oui
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C ou plus
Non
26°C 99.5%
21°C ou moins 99%
25°C 94%
22°C 7.8%
$540 Vol.
$540 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
Non
22°C
$0 Vol.
Non
23°C
$47 Vol.
Non
24°C
$82 Vol.
Non
25°C
$26 Vol.
Non
26°C
$212 Vol.
Oui
27°C
$173 Vol.
Non
28°C
$0 Vol.
Non
29°C
$0 Vol.
Non
30°C
$0 Vol.
Non
31°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Manila's overnight low on September 12 will settle near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's strong 90% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity near 85–90%, light variable winds under 5 knots, and extensive cloud cover from the ongoing monsoon pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to the seasonal tropical baseline of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show no significant cool-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would drive readings to 24°C or below, while the absence of extreme daytime heating caps the chance of an anomalously mild night above 27°C. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance from agencies tracking these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$540Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Manila's overnight low on September 12 will settle near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's strong 90% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity near 85–90%, light variable winds under 5 knots, and extensive cloud cover from the ongoing monsoon pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to the seasonal tropical baseline of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show no significant cool-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would drive readings to 24°C or below, while the absence of extreme daytime heating caps the chance of an anomalously mild night above 27°C. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance from agencies tracking these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$540Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Manila's overnight low on September 12 will settle near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's strong 90% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity near 85–90%, light variable winds under 5 knots, and extensive cloud cover from the ongoing monsoon pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to the seasonal tropical baseline of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show no significant cool-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would drive readings to 24°C or below, while the absence of extreme daytime heating caps the chance of an anomalously mild night above 27°C. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance from agencies tracking these stable conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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