Trader sentiment for Manila's September 14 overnight low shows high uncertainty, with leading outcomes clustered around 26°C, 20°C or below, and 30°C or higher. Variable southwest monsoon flow and scattered tropical disturbances in the western Pacific drive the spread, as increased cloud cover and rainfall suppress radiative cooling and keep minima higher, while clearer breaks allow greater heat loss toward lower thresholds. PAGASA guidance and model ensembles diverge on precipitation timing and intensity through the 48-hour window, directly affecting the minimum recorded at official stations. Historical September baselines near 24–26°C underscore how short-term steering patterns and urban heat island effects create the current tight market distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 14 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 14 septembre ?
30°C ou plus 58%
20°C ou moins 57%
27°C 39%
28°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
57%
21°C
17%
22°C
17%
23°C
37%
24°C
23%
25°C
29%
26°C
31%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C ou plus
58%
30°C ou plus 58%
20°C ou moins 57%
27°C 39%
28°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
57%
21°C
$0 Vol.
17%
22°C
$0 Vol.
17%
23°C
$0 Vol.
37%
24°C
$20 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
29%
26°C
$0 Vol.
31%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's September 14 overnight low shows high uncertainty, with leading outcomes clustered around 26°C, 20°C or below, and 30°C or higher. Variable southwest monsoon flow and scattered tropical disturbances in the western Pacific drive the spread, as increased cloud cover and rainfall suppress radiative cooling and keep minima higher, while clearer breaks allow greater heat loss toward lower thresholds. PAGASA guidance and model ensembles diverge on precipitation timing and intensity through the 48-hour window, directly affecting the minimum recorded at official stations. Historical September baselines near 24–26°C underscore how short-term steering patterns and urban heat island effects create the current tight market distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$20Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's September 14 overnight low shows high uncertainty, with leading outcomes clustered around 26°C, 20°C or below, and 30°C or higher. Variable southwest monsoon flow and scattered tropical disturbances in the western Pacific drive the spread, as increased cloud cover and rainfall suppress radiative cooling and keep minima higher, while clearer breaks allow greater heat loss toward lower thresholds. PAGASA guidance and model ensembles diverge on precipitation timing and intensity through the 48-hour window, directly affecting the minimum recorded at official stations. Historical September baselines near 24–26°C underscore how short-term steering patterns and urban heat island effects create the current tight market distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Manila's September 14 overnight low shows high uncertainty, with leading outcomes clustered around 26°C, 20°C or below, and 30°C or higher. Variable southwest monsoon flow and scattered tropical disturbances in the western Pacific drive the spread, as increased cloud cover and rainfall suppress radiative cooling and keep minima higher, while clearer breaks allow greater heat loss toward lower thresholds. PAGASA guidance and model ensembles diverge on precipitation timing and intensity through the 48-hour window, directly affecting the minimum recorded at official stations. Historical September baselines near 24–26°C underscore how short-term steering patterns and urban heat island effects create the current tight market distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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