Current forecast models from agencies like PAGASA and international ensembles show moderate uncertainty over Manila's overnight minimum on September 13, with guidance split between typical rainy-season values near 25–26 °C and a possible early northeast monsoon surge that could drop readings to 19 °C or lower. Recent satellite and upper-air data indicate variable steering flow and moisture levels that could either allow localized radiational cooling under clearing skies or maintain warmer, cloud-covered conditions. Historical September minima average around 24–25 °C, so any sub-20 °C outcome would represent a notable cold anomaly driven by stronger-than-normal northerly winds. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will likely resolve the spread between the closely matched market-implied probabilities near 25–26 °C versus 19 °C or below.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 13 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 13 septembre ?
19°C ou moins 96%
26°C 51%
27°C 50%
24°C 45%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
96%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
18%
24°C
45%
25°C
50%
26°C
51%
27°C
50%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
19°C ou moins 96%
26°C 51%
27°C 50%
24°C 45%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
96%
20°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$79 Vol.
3%
23°C
$72 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
45%
25°C
$5 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
51%
27°C
$40 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like PAGASA and international ensembles show moderate uncertainty over Manila's overnight minimum on September 13, with guidance split between typical rainy-season values near 25–26 °C and a possible early northeast monsoon surge that could drop readings to 19 °C or lower. Recent satellite and upper-air data indicate variable steering flow and moisture levels that could either allow localized radiational cooling under clearing skies or maintain warmer, cloud-covered conditions. Historical September minima average around 24–25 °C, so any sub-20 °C outcome would represent a notable cold anomaly driven by stronger-than-normal northerly winds. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will likely resolve the spread between the closely matched market-implied probabilities near 25–26 °C versus 19 °C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$195Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like PAGASA and international ensembles show moderate uncertainty over Manila's overnight minimum on September 13, with guidance split between typical rainy-season values near 25–26 °C and a possible early northeast monsoon surge that could drop readings to 19 °C or lower. Recent satellite and upper-air data indicate variable steering flow and moisture levels that could either allow localized radiational cooling under clearing skies or maintain warmer, cloud-covered conditions. Historical September minima average around 24–25 °C, so any sub-20 °C outcome would represent a notable cold anomaly driven by stronger-than-normal northerly winds. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will likely resolve the spread between the closely matched market-implied probabilities near 25–26 °C versus 19 °C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$195Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like PAGASA and international ensembles show moderate uncertainty over Manila's overnight minimum on September 13, with guidance split between typical rainy-season values near 25–26 °C and a possible early northeast monsoon surge that could drop readings to 19 °C or lower. Recent satellite and upper-air data indicate variable steering flow and moisture levels that could either allow localized radiational cooling under clearing skies or maintain warmer, cloud-covered conditions. Historical September minima average around 24–25 °C, so any sub-20 °C outcome would represent a notable cold anomaly driven by stronger-than-normal northerly winds. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will likely resolve the spread between the closely matched market-implied probabilities near 25–26 °C versus 19 °C or below.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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