Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 3 will likely fall in the 12–15°C range amid overcast skies, light rain or drizzle, and southwesterly winds near 3–4 m/s, limiting nighttime radiative cooling. A recent warm spell with daytime highs near 22–26°C on September 1–2 has supported trader positioning around 18°C or higher, while incoming cooler Atlantic air and persistent cloud cover have elevated probabilities for 12–13°C outcomes. Historical early-September baselines average roughly 10–14°C overnight, and the current setup shows limited potential for sharp drops below 10°C or sustained warmth above 17°C given stable pressure near 1012–1013 hPa and moderate humidity. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Hydrometeorological Center remain key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Moscou le 3 septembre ?
18°C or higher 96%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
12°C 27%
8°C or below
6%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
96%
18°C or higher 96%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
12°C 27%
8°C or below
6%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 3 will likely fall in the 12–15°C range amid overcast skies, light rain or drizzle, and southwesterly winds near 3–4 m/s, limiting nighttime radiative cooling. A recent warm spell with daytime highs near 22–26°C on September 1–2 has supported trader positioning around 18°C or higher, while incoming cooler Atlantic air and persistent cloud cover have elevated probabilities for 12–13°C outcomes. Historical early-September baselines average roughly 10–14°C overnight, and the current setup shows limited potential for sharp drops below 10°C or sustained warmth above 17°C given stable pressure near 1012–1013 hPa and moderate humidity. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Hydrometeorological Center remain key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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