**Latest short-range model guidance from sources like the GFS and DWD-MOS points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C for Munich on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light winds, aligning with the seasonal average low of about 10.5°C.** This consensus supports mid-range outcomes in the market, yet the near-even 40% implied probabilities on both 4°C or below and 14°C or higher reflect genuine forecast uncertainty. Key variables include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under clear conditions, subtle shifts in low-level wind patterns that could enhance or limit mixing, and small ensemble spreads in predicted dew points and cloud cover. Official monitoring from European meteorological agencies will refine these details through updated runs ahead of the overnight period, as even modest changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the realized minimum by several degrees.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Munich le 12 septembre ?
14°C ou plus 79%
4°C ou moins 77%
7°C 39%
11°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
4°C ou moins
77%
5°C
26%
6°C
38%
7°C
39%
8°C
29%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
39%
12°C
19%
13°C
38%
14°C ou plus
79%
14°C ou plus 79%
4°C ou moins 77%
7°C 39%
11°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
4°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
77%
5°C
$0 Vol.
26%
6°C
$0 Vol.
38%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
29%
9°C
$4 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$40 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
38%
14°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest short-range model guidance from sources like the GFS and DWD-MOS points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C for Munich on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light winds, aligning with the seasonal average low of about 10.5°C.**
This consensus supports mid-range outcomes in the market, yet the near-even 40% implied probabilities on both 4°C or below and 14°C or higher reflect genuine forecast uncertainty. Key variables include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under clear conditions, subtle shifts in low-level wind patterns that could enhance or limit mixing, and small ensemble spreads in predicted dew points and cloud cover. Official monitoring from European meteorological agencies will refine these details through updated runs ahead of the overnight period, as even modest changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the realized minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$44Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest short-range model guidance from sources like the GFS and DWD-MOS points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C for Munich on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light winds, aligning with the seasonal average low of about 10.5°C.**
This consensus supports mid-range outcomes in the market, yet the near-even 40% implied probabilities on both 4°C or below and 14°C or higher reflect genuine forecast uncertainty. Key variables include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under clear conditions, subtle shifts in low-level wind patterns that could enhance or limit mixing, and small ensemble spreads in predicted dew points and cloud cover. Official monitoring from European meteorological agencies will refine these details through updated runs ahead of the overnight period, as even modest changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the realized minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Latest short-range model guidance from sources like the GFS and DWD-MOS points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C for Munich on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light winds, aligning with the seasonal average low of about 10.5°C.** This consensus supports mid-range outcomes in the market, yet the near-even 40% implied probabilities on both 4°C or below and 14°C or higher reflect genuine forecast uncertainty. Key variables include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under clear conditions, subtle shifts in low-level wind patterns that could enhance or limit mixing, and small ensemble spreads in predicted dew points and cloud cover. Official monitoring from European meteorological agencies will refine these details through updated runs ahead of the overnight period, as even modest changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the realized minimum by several degrees.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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