Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula, with clear to mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds favoring moderate overnight radiative cooling for Incheon on September 21. This setup supports a minimum temperature near 19°C, aligning with the market's leading 48% implied probability, while slight variations in dew points and boundary-layer mixing explain the secondary clustering around 18–20°C. Current conditions show no incoming fronts or significant moisture shifts that would alter the thermal profile, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region. Updated model runs overnight have reinforced this range, with resolution hinging on precise timing of the daily minimum before sunrise.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 21 septembre ?
19°C 48%
18°C 26%
20°C 20%
17°C 8%
14°C ou moins
<1%
15°C
6%
16°C
8%
17°C
8%
18°C
26%
19°C
48%
20°C
20%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
19°C 48%
18°C 26%
20°C 20%
17°C 8%
14°C ou moins
<1%
15°C
6%
16°C
8%
17°C
8%
18°C
26%
19°C
48%
20°C
20%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula, with clear to mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds favoring moderate overnight radiative cooling for Incheon on September 21. This setup supports a minimum temperature near 19°C, aligning with the market's leading 48% implied probability, while slight variations in dew points and boundary-layer mixing explain the secondary clustering around 18–20°C. Current conditions show no incoming fronts or significant moisture shifts that would alter the thermal profile, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region. Updated model runs overnight have reinforced this range, with resolution hinging on precise timing of the daily minimum before sunrise.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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