Recent forecasts from models and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds of 6–10 m/s over Incheon on September 4, supporting overnight lows near 20–22°C through radiational cooling under high pressure. Current conditions show dew points around 18–20°C and minimal cloud cover, which favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Slight model differences in wind persistence and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 21°C, as stronger sustained flow or minor moisture advection could limit cooling by 1–2°C while clearer, calmer scenarios allow deeper drops. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 4 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 4 septembre ?
23°C 43%
21°C 37%
20°C 35%
22°C 31%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
9%
18°C
6%
19°C
13%
20°C
35%
21°C
37%
22°C
31%
23°C
43%
24°C
9%
25°C ou plus
1%
23°C 43%
21°C 37%
20°C 35%
22°C 31%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
5%
16°C
$0 Vol.
9%
17°C
$0 Vol.
9%
18°C
$71 Vol.
6%
19°C
$0 Vol.
13%
20°C
$0 Vol.
35%
21°C
$0 Vol.
37%
22°C
$0 Vol.
31%
23°C
$0 Vol.
43%
24°C
$0 Vol.
9%
25°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds of 6–10 m/s over Incheon on September 4, supporting overnight lows near 20–22°C through radiational cooling under high pressure. Current conditions show dew points around 18–20°C and minimal cloud cover, which favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Slight model differences in wind persistence and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 21°C, as stronger sustained flow or minor moisture advection could limit cooling by 1–2°C while clearer, calmer scenarios allow deeper drops. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$71Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds of 6–10 m/s over Incheon on September 4, supporting overnight lows near 20–22°C through radiational cooling under high pressure. Current conditions show dew points around 18–20°C and minimal cloud cover, which favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Slight model differences in wind persistence and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 21°C, as stronger sustained flow or minor moisture advection could limit cooling by 1–2°C while clearer, calmer scenarios allow deeper drops. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds of 6–10 m/s over Incheon on September 4, supporting overnight lows near 20–22°C through radiational cooling under high pressure. Current conditions show dew points around 18–20°C and minimal cloud cover, which favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Slight model differences in wind persistence and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 21°C, as stronger sustained flow or minor moisture advection could limit cooling by 1–2°C while clearer, calmer scenarios allow deeper drops. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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