**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, Yr.no, and others converge on a minimum temperature of 22–23°C for Shanghai on September 13, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds of 2–5 m/s, and surface pressures near 1018–1020 hPa.** These stable anticyclonic conditions promote modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs of 29–32°C, with dew points around 19–20°C limiting further drops. The market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C (55.5%) followed by 24°C (26%) and 22°C (22%) directly tracks this narrow consensus range across recent model runs, with minimal dispersion from typical September climatology (average lows near 20–22°C). No incoming fronts, typhoon influences, or significant moisture advection appear in the latest guidance, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered and reducing the chance of outliers. Updated forecasts through the evening of September 12 will provide the final data ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 13 septembre ?
23°C 53%
24°C 27%
22°C 23%
25°C 4%
19°C ou moins
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
23%
23°C
53%
24°C
27%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
23°C 53%
24°C 27%
22°C 23%
25°C 4%
19°C ou moins
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
23%
23°C
53%
24°C
27%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, Yr.no, and others converge on a minimum temperature of 22–23°C for Shanghai on September 13, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds of 2–5 m/s, and surface pressures near 1018–1020 hPa.** These stable anticyclonic conditions promote modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs of 29–32°C, with dew points around 19–20°C limiting further drops. The market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C (55.5%) followed by 24°C (26%) and 22°C (22%) directly tracks this narrow consensus range across recent model runs, with minimal dispersion from typical September climatology (average lows near 20–22°C). No incoming fronts, typhoon influences, or significant moisture advection appear in the latest guidance, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered and reducing the chance of outliers. Updated forecasts through the evening of September 12 will provide the final data ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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