**Current official forecasts and real-time observations from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 9°C for Wellington on September 10, driving the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Strong southerly flow following a cold front, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity, has limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further as confirmed by station readings near 9°C and model consensus. Historical September minima in the region average around 7–8°C, but today's specific atmospheric setup supports the higher floor. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies or a sharper wind shift allowing greater heat loss before midnight, though updated guidance shows low likelihood of such changes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wellington le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Wellington le 10 septembre ?
9°C 100.0%
3°C ou moins <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$787 Vol.
$787 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
3°C ou moins
Non
4°C
Non
5°C
Non
6°C
Non
7°C
Non
8°C
Non
9°C
Oui
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C ou plus
Non
9°C 100.0%
3°C ou moins <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$787 Vol.
$787 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
3°C ou moins
$132 Vol.
Non
4°C
$66 Vol.
Non
5°C
$45 Vol.
Non
6°C
$137 Vol.
Non
7°C
$101 Vol.
Non
8°C
$45 Vol.
Non
9°C
$80 Vol.
Oui
10°C
$72 Vol.
Non
11°C
$28 Vol.
Non
12°C
$3 Vol.
Non
13°C ou plus
$80 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official forecasts and real-time observations from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 9°C for Wellington on September 10, driving the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Strong southerly flow following a cold front, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity, has limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further as confirmed by station readings near 9°C and model consensus. Historical September minima in the region average around 7–8°C, but today's specific atmospheric setup supports the higher floor. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies or a sharper wind shift allowing greater heat loss before midnight, though updated guidance shows low likelihood of such changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$787Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official forecasts and real-time observations from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 9°C for Wellington on September 10, driving the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Strong southerly flow following a cold front, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity, has limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further as confirmed by station readings near 9°C and model consensus. Historical September minima in the region average around 7–8°C, but today's specific atmospheric setup supports the higher floor. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies or a sharper wind shift allowing greater heat loss before midnight, though updated guidance shows low likelihood of such changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$787Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Current official forecasts and real-time observations from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 9°C for Wellington on September 10, driving the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Strong southerly flow following a cold front, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity, has limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further as confirmed by station readings near 9°C and model consensus. Historical September minima in the region average around 7–8°C, but today's specific atmospheric setup supports the higher floor. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies or a sharper wind shift allowing greater heat loss before midnight, though updated guidance shows low likelihood of such changes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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