Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic-Farmer-Labor lean, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 74% share of the 2024 general election vote. Ilhan Omar's decision to seek re-election rather than pursue a Senate bid, combined with endorsements from U.S. senators and groups such as the Sierra Club, has reinforced her position ahead of the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary against several challengers. Republican primary candidates face the same structural barriers in a Minneapolis-centered district. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding edge consistent with historical margins and race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. A significant shift would require an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle development capable of overcoming the district's consistent partisan patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$41,011 Vol.
$41,011 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
3%
$41,011 Vol.
$41,011 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$17,009 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$24,002 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic-Farmer-Labor lean, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 74% share of the 2024 general election vote. Ilhan Omar's decision to seek re-election rather than pursue a Senate bid, combined with endorsements from U.S. senators and groups such as the Sierra Club, has reinforced her position ahead of the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary against several challengers. Republican primary candidates face the same structural barriers in a Minneapolis-centered district. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding edge consistent with historical margins and race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. A significant shift would require an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle development capable of overcoming the district's consistent partisan patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$41,011Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic-Farmer-Labor lean, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 74% share of the 2024 general election vote. Ilhan Omar's decision to seek re-election rather than pursue a Senate bid, combined with endorsements from U.S. senators and groups such as the Sierra Club, has reinforced her position ahead of the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary against several challengers. Republican primary candidates face the same structural barriers in a Minneapolis-centered district. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding edge consistent with historical margins and race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. A significant shift would require an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle development capable of overcoming the district's consistent partisan patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,011Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic-Farmer-Labor lean, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 74% share of the 2024 general election vote. Ilhan Omar's decision to seek re-election rather than pursue a Senate bid, combined with endorsements from U.S. senators and groups such as the Sierra Club, has reinforced her position ahead of the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary against several challengers. Republican primary candidates face the same structural barriers in a Minneapolis-centered district. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding edge consistent with historical margins and race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. A significant shift would require an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle development capable of overcoming the district's consistent partisan patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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