President Trump's April 15 Fox Business interview reaffirmed that the Department of Justice probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over alleged cost overruns on a headquarters renovation project will continue, with prosecutors recently seeking unannounced access to the Fed building. Powell's term ends May 15, 2026, prompting Trump to threaten dismissal if he remains in any role, amid efforts to confirm nominee Kevin Warsh as successor. Senate Republicans like Thom Tillis have signaled opposition to Warsh's nomination unless the investigation concludes, highlighting tensions between executive pressure, Fed independence, and confirmation dynamics. Traders weigh these institutional hurdles and political leverage against resolution timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrump abandonne l'enquête Powell par… ?
Trump abandonne l'enquête Powell par… ?
$18,442 Vol.
30 avril
19%
30 juin
65%
$18,442 Vol.
30 avril
19%
30 juin
65%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 15 Fox Business interview reaffirmed that the Department of Justice probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over alleged cost overruns on a headquarters renovation project will continue, with prosecutors recently seeking unannounced access to the Fed building. Powell's term ends May 15, 2026, prompting Trump to threaten dismissal if he remains in any role, amid efforts to confirm nominee Kevin Warsh as successor. Senate Republicans like Thom Tillis have signaled opposition to Warsh's nomination unless the investigation concludes, highlighting tensions between executive pressure, Fed independence, and confirmation dynamics. Traders weigh these institutional hurdles and political leverage against resolution timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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