Celeste Maloy holds a commanding position in Utah's 3rd Congressional District race due to the district's deep Republican tilt, reflected in a Solid Republican rating and an R+47 baseline from recent redistricting. She secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 by defeating challenger Phil Lyman with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote, backed by superior fundraising exceeding $1 million compared to her opponent's limited resources. Democrat Kent Udell advanced unopposed but maintains minimal visibility and campaign funding in this heavily Republican area. The implied probability aligns with the seat's structural advantages and Maloy's incumbency. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift could still narrow the margin before November voting concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$12,608 Vol.
$12,608 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Celeste Maloy (R)
95%
Kent Udell (D)
6%
$12,608 Vol.
$12,608 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Celeste Maloy (R)
$10,176 Vol.
95%
Kent Udell (D)
$2,432 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Celeste Maloy holds a commanding position in Utah's 3rd Congressional District race due to the district's deep Republican tilt, reflected in a Solid Republican rating and an R+47 baseline from recent redistricting. She secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 by defeating challenger Phil Lyman with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote, backed by superior fundraising exceeding $1 million compared to her opponent's limited resources. Democrat Kent Udell advanced unopposed but maintains minimal visibility and campaign funding in this heavily Republican area. The implied probability aligns with the seat's structural advantages and Maloy's incumbency. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift could still narrow the margin before November voting concludes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$12,608Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Celeste Maloy holds a commanding position in Utah's 3rd Congressional District race due to the district's deep Republican tilt, reflected in a Solid Republican rating and an R+47 baseline from recent redistricting. She secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 by defeating challenger Phil Lyman with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote, backed by superior fundraising exceeding $1 million compared to her opponent's limited resources. Democrat Kent Udell advanced unopposed but maintains minimal visibility and campaign funding in this heavily Republican area. The implied probability aligns with the seat's structural advantages and Maloy's incumbency. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift could still narrow the margin before November voting concludes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,608Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Celeste Maloy holds a commanding position in Utah's 3rd Congressional District race due to the district's deep Republican tilt, reflected in a Solid Republican rating and an R+47 baseline from recent redistricting. She secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 by defeating challenger Phil Lyman with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote, backed by superior fundraising exceeding $1 million compared to her opponent's limited resources. Democrat Kent Udell advanced unopposed but maintains minimal visibility and campaign funding in this heavily Republican area. The implied probability aligns with the seat's structural advantages and Maloy's incumbency. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift could still narrow the margin before November voting concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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