President Trump's recent Truth Social posts amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions have fueled public insults against critics and allies, including calling Tucker Carlson a "low IQ" figure on April 7 over Iran policy clashes, blasting Pope Leo XIV three days ago for conflict remarks, and targeting Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni two days ago for failing to back U.S. efforts. Additional barbs hit NATO for lack of support, Rep. Abigail Spanberger ahead of Virginia meetings, and a reporter interrupting on Iran operations. This pattern of frequent, provocative rhetoric shapes trader consensus on likely targets by April 30, with ongoing diplomatic pressures and potential ceasefire talks poised to prompt further statements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$72,807 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Keir Starmer
63%
Barack Obama
67%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
50%
Pape Léon XIV
39%
Tucker Carlson
30%
Megyn Kelly
29%
Alex Jones
15%
Pam Bondi
8%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
Elon Musk
4%
Vladimir Poutine
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Viktor Orbán
2%
Xi Jinping
2%
Melania Trump
2%
Candace Owens
43%
$72,807 Vol.
Keir Starmer
$42 Vol.
63%
Barack Obama
$1,683 Vol.
67%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$197 Vol.
50%
Pape Léon XIV
$2,304 Vol.
39%
Tucker Carlson
$766 Vol.
30%
Megyn Kelly
$0 Vol.
29%
Alex Jones
$1,314 Vol.
15%
Pam Bondi
$451 Vol.
8%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$6,047 Vol.
5%
Elon Musk
$842 Vol.
4%
Vladimir Poutine
$3,056 Vol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$6,287 Vol.
3%
Viktor Orbán
$3,355 Vol.
2%
Xi Jinping
$10,996 Vol.
2%
Melania Trump
$8,002 Vol.
2%
Candace Owens
$47 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent Truth Social posts amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions have fueled public insults against critics and allies, including calling Tucker Carlson a "low IQ" figure on April 7 over Iran policy clashes, blasting Pope Leo XIV three days ago for conflict remarks, and targeting Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni two days ago for failing to back U.S. efforts. Additional barbs hit NATO for lack of support, Rep. Abigail Spanberger ahead of Virginia meetings, and a reporter interrupting on Iran operations. This pattern of frequent, provocative rhetoric shapes trader consensus on likely targets by April 30, with ongoing diplomatic pressures and potential ceasefire talks poised to prompt further statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$72,807Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent Truth Social posts amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions have fueled public insults against critics and allies, including calling Tucker Carlson a "low IQ" figure on April 7 over Iran policy clashes, blasting Pope Leo XIV three days ago for conflict remarks, and targeting Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni two days ago for failing to back U.S. efforts. Additional barbs hit NATO for lack of support, Rep. Abigail Spanberger ahead of Virginia meetings, and a reporter interrupting on Iran operations. This pattern of frequent, provocative rhetoric shapes trader consensus on likely targets by April 30, with ongoing diplomatic pressures and potential ceasefire talks poised to prompt further statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$72,807Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent Truth Social posts amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions have fueled public insults against critics and allies, including calling Tucker Carlson a "low IQ" figure on April 7 over Iran policy clashes, blasting Pope Leo XIV three days ago for conflict remarks, and targeting Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni two days ago for failing to back U.S. efforts. Additional barbs hit NATO for lack of support, Rep. Abigail Spanberger ahead of Virginia meetings, and a reporter interrupting on Iran operations. This pattern of frequent, provocative rhetoric shapes trader consensus on likely targets by April 30, with ongoing diplomatic pressures and potential ceasefire talks poised to prompt further statements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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