Following the January 3, 2026, US military strikes under Operation Absolute Resolve that captured Nicolás Maduro for narcoterrorism charges, Venezuela's interim President Delcy Rodríguez has overseen economic stabilization, including oil export deals exceeding $1 billion, prisoner amnesties releasing over 600 detainees, and hydrocarbon reforms privatizing production. Diplomatic ties have thawed with the US embassy fully reopening in Caracas on March 30 and sanctions lifted on Rodríguez around April 2, signaling de-escalation over military confrontation. No further US airstrikes, drone attacks, or military engagements have occurred in the past 30 days amid cooperation on humanitarian aid and critical minerals. Maduro's next US court date remains a potential flashpoint, but trader consensus reflects low escalation risk absent renewed Venezuelan provocations like arms trafficking or regional instability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया... तक वेनेजुएला पर एक और अमेरिकी हमला?
... तक वेनेजुएला पर एक और अमेरिकी हमला?
$2,531,179 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2026
31 दिसंबर
15%
$2,531,179 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर
$489,878 वॉल्यूम
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Following the January 3, 2026, US military strikes under Operation Absolute Resolve that captured Nicolás Maduro for narcoterrorism charges, Venezuela's interim President Delcy Rodríguez has overseen economic stabilization, including oil export deals exceeding $1 billion, prisoner amnesties releasing over 600 detainees, and hydrocarbon reforms privatizing production. Diplomatic ties have thawed with the US embassy fully reopening in Caracas on March 30 and sanctions lifted on Rodríguez around April 2, signaling de-escalation over military confrontation. No further US airstrikes, drone attacks, or military engagements have occurred in the past 30 days amid cooperation on humanitarian aid and critical minerals. Maduro's next US court date remains a potential flashpoint, but trader consensus reflects low escalation risk absent renewed Venezuelan provocations like arms trafficking or regional instability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 4, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,531,179समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Following the January 3, 2026, US military strikes under Operation Absolute Resolve that captured Nicolás Maduro for narcoterrorism charges, Venezuela's interim President Delcy Rodríguez has overseen economic stabilization, including oil export deals exceeding $1 billion, prisoner amnesties releasing over 600 detainees, and hydrocarbon reforms privatizing production. Diplomatic ties have thawed with the US embassy fully reopening in Caracas on March 30 and sanctions lifted on Rodríguez around April 2, signaling de-escalation over military confrontation. No further US airstrikes, drone attacks, or military engagements have occurred in the past 30 days amid cooperation on humanitarian aid and critical minerals. Maduro's next US court date remains a potential flashpoint, but trader consensus reflects low escalation risk absent renewed Venezuelan provocations like arms trafficking or regional instability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
वॉल्यूम
$2,531,179समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the January 3, 2026, US military strikes under Operation Absolute Resolve that captured Nicolás Maduro for narcoterrorism charges, Venezuela's interim President Delcy Rodríguez has overseen economic stabilization, including oil export deals exceeding $1 billion, prisoner amnesties releasing over 600 detainees, and hydrocarbon reforms privatizing production. Diplomatic ties have thawed with the US embassy fully reopening in Caracas on March 30 and sanctions lifted on Rodríguez around April 2, signaling de-escalation over military confrontation. No further US airstrikes, drone attacks, or military engagements have occurred in the past 30 days amid cooperation on humanitarian aid and critical minerals. Maduro's next US court date remains a potential flashpoint, but trader consensus reflects low escalation risk absent renewed Venezuelan provocations like arms trafficking or regional instability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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