Trump administration's aggressive anti-cartel campaign, including the January 3 targeted military operation in Venezuela that captured Nicolás Maduro without sustained ground occupation, has not met the threshold for a full-scale invasion, keeping trader consensus at 77.5% for No through mid-April. March's Shield of the Americas summit in Miami urged Latin American leaders to lead military actions against narco-terrorists, with U.S. support limited to precision strikes in Ecuador and Colombia rather than unilateral invasions. Recent Pentagon planning for potential Cuba operations signals contingencies amid regime threats but lacks imminent deployment signals. Broader priorities like the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran and China deterrence further diminish odds of 2026 escalations to invasion levels.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$206,936 वॉल्यूम
$206,936 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$206,936 वॉल्यूम
$206,936 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Trump administration's aggressive anti-cartel campaign, including the January 3 targeted military operation in Venezuela that captured Nicolás Maduro without sustained ground occupation, has not met the threshold for a full-scale invasion, keeping trader consensus at 77.5% for No through mid-April. March's Shield of the Americas summit in Miami urged Latin American leaders to lead military actions against narco-terrorists, with U.S. support limited to precision strikes in Ecuador and Colombia rather than unilateral invasions. Recent Pentagon planning for potential Cuba operations signals contingencies amid regime threats but lacks imminent deployment signals. Broader priorities like the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran and China deterrence further diminish odds of 2026 escalations to invasion levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$206,936समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Trump administration's aggressive anti-cartel campaign, including the January 3 targeted military operation in Venezuela that captured Nicolás Maduro without sustained ground occupation, has not met the threshold for a full-scale invasion, keeping trader consensus at 77.5% for No through mid-April. March's Shield of the Americas summit in Miami urged Latin American leaders to lead military actions against narco-terrorists, with U.S. support limited to precision strikes in Ecuador and Colombia rather than unilateral invasions. Recent Pentagon planning for potential Cuba operations signals contingencies amid regime threats but lacks imminent deployment signals. Broader priorities like the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran and China deterrence further diminish odds of 2026 escalations to invasion levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
वॉल्यूम
$206,936समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump administration's aggressive anti-cartel campaign, including the January 3 targeted military operation in Venezuela that captured Nicolás Maduro without sustained ground occupation, has not met the threshold for a full-scale invasion, keeping trader consensus at 77.5% for No through mid-April. March's Shield of the Americas summit in Miami urged Latin American leaders to lead military actions against narco-terrorists, with U.S. support limited to precision strikes in Ecuador and Colombia rather than unilateral invasions. Recent Pentagon planning for potential Cuba operations signals contingencies amid regime threats but lacks imminent deployment signals. Broader priorities like the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran and China deterrence further diminish odds of 2026 escalations to invasion levels.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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