Civil Contract's commanding 89.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market reflects trader consensus on recent polling dominance ahead of the June 7, 2026, vote under proportional representation, where parties need 5% and alliances 7% to enter the National Assembly. EVN Report's second-wave survey (late March 2026, published early April) showed Civil Contract at 33.6% voting intention—up 7.5 points—with 37% undecided voters leaning incumbent (projecting 41-50% support), driven by rising Prime Minister approval to 47%, improved economic and security perceptions, and opposition fragmentation. Strong Armenia trails at 11%, while Armenia Alliance (6% market share) and others like Prosperous Armenia languish below thresholds, limiting coalition prospects despite pro-Russian ties. No major shifts in the past week, but international observer preparations underscore procedural focus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासिविल कॉन्ट्रैक्ट 90%
आर्मेनिया एलायंस 6%
हेरिटेज 2.5%
आर्मीनियाई नेशनल कांग्रेस 2.2%
$103,314 वॉल्यूम
$103,314 वॉल्यूम
7 जून, 2026
सिविल कॉन्ट्रैक्ट
90%
आर्मेनिया एलायंस
6%
हेरिटेज
2%
आर्मीनियाई नेशनल कांग्रेस
2%
समृद्ध आर्मेनिया
2%
ओरिनात्स येरकिर
2%
ब्राइट आर्मेनिया
1%
आई हैव ऑनर एलायंस
1%
हनरापेटुत्युन पार्टी
1%
सिविल कॉन्ट्रैक्ट 90%
आर्मेनिया एलायंस 6%
हेरिटेज 2.5%
आर्मीनियाई नेशनल कांग्रेस 2.2%
$103,314 वॉल्यूम
$103,314 वॉल्यूम
7 जून, 2026
सिविल कॉन्ट्रैक्ट
$41,427 वॉल्यूम
90%
आर्मेनिया एलायंस
$49,639 वॉल्यूम
6%
हेरिटेज
$1,761 वॉल्यूम
2%
आर्मीनियाई नेशनल कांग्रेस
$2,006 वॉल्यूम
2%
समृद्ध आर्मेनिया
$1,554 वॉल्यूम
2%
ओरिनात्स येरकिर
$1,807 वॉल्यूम
2%
ब्राइट आर्मेनिया
$2,248 वॉल्यूम
1%
आई हैव ऑनर एलायंस
$1,405 वॉल्यूम
1%
हनरापेटुत्युन पार्टी
$1,468 वॉल्यूम
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 89.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market reflects trader consensus on recent polling dominance ahead of the June 7, 2026, vote under proportional representation, where parties need 5% and alliances 7% to enter the National Assembly. EVN Report's second-wave survey (late March 2026, published early April) showed Civil Contract at 33.6% voting intention—up 7.5 points—with 37% undecided voters leaning incumbent (projecting 41-50% support), driven by rising Prime Minister approval to 47%, improved economic and security perceptions, and opposition fragmentation. Strong Armenia trails at 11%, while Armenia Alliance (6% market share) and others like Prosperous Armenia languish below thresholds, limiting coalition prospects despite pro-Russian ties. No major shifts in the past week, but international observer preparations underscore procedural focus.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$103,314समाप्ति तिथि
7 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 89.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market reflects trader consensus on recent polling dominance ahead of the June 7, 2026, vote under proportional representation, where parties need 5% and alliances 7% to enter the National Assembly. EVN Report's second-wave survey (late March 2026, published early April) showed Civil Contract at 33.6% voting intention—up 7.5 points—with 37% undecided voters leaning incumbent (projecting 41-50% support), driven by rising Prime Minister approval to 47%, improved economic and security perceptions, and opposition fragmentation. Strong Armenia trails at 11%, while Armenia Alliance (6% market share) and others like Prosperous Armenia languish below thresholds, limiting coalition prospects despite pro-Russian ties. No major shifts in the past week, but international observer preparations underscore procedural focus.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
वॉल्यूम
$103,314समाप्ति तिथि
7 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's commanding 89.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market reflects trader consensus on recent polling dominance ahead of the June 7, 2026, vote under proportional representation, where parties need 5% and alliances 7% to enter the National Assembly. EVN Report's second-wave survey (late March 2026, published early April) showed Civil Contract at 33.6% voting intention—up 7.5 points—with 37% undecided voters leaning incumbent (projecting 41-50% support), driven by rising Prime Minister approval to 47%, improved economic and security perceptions, and opposition fragmentation. Strong Armenia trails at 11%, while Armenia Alliance (6% market share) and others like Prosperous Armenia languish below thresholds, limiting coalition prospects despite pro-Russian ties. No major shifts in the past week, but international observer preparations underscore procedural focus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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