Recent polls, including Quaest (April 9–13), Datafolha (April 7–9), and Futura (April 7–11), show incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round voting intentions at 37–40%, with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro entrenched in second place at 30–38%, well ahead of distant contenders like Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema under 5%. Flávio's positioning stems from his rapid consolidation of the fragmented right-wing vote following São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas' decision to seek reelection and former President Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement, narrowing Lula's lead from double digits earlier this year. Traders' 62% implied probability for Flávio in second reflects this polling consensus ahead of the October 4 first round, while Lula's 21% acknowledges the tight race's potential for a reversal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 21%
रेनेन सैंटोस 7.0%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद 5.0%
$2,890,160 वॉल्यूम
$2,890,160 वॉल्यूम
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो
62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
21%
रेनेन सैंटोस
7%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
5%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
3%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
2%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा
1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
1%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
तर्शीज़ियो दे फ़्रेयटास
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 21%
रेनेन सैंटोस 7.0%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद 5.0%
$2,890,160 वॉल्यूम
$2,890,160 वॉल्यूम
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो
62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
21%
रेनेन सैंटोस
7%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
5%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
3%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
2%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा
1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
1%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
तर्शीज़ियो दे फ़्रेयटास
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Quaest (April 9–13), Datafolha (April 7–9), and Futura (April 7–11), show incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round voting intentions at 37–40%, with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro entrenched in second place at 30–38%, well ahead of distant contenders like Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema under 5%. Flávio's positioning stems from his rapid consolidation of the fragmented right-wing vote following São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas' decision to seek reelection and former President Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement, narrowing Lula's lead from double digits earlier this year. Traders' 62% implied probability for Flávio in second reflects this polling consensus ahead of the October 4 first round, while Lula's 21% acknowledges the tight race's potential for a reversal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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