Recent polls, including Genial/Quaest on April 15 showing Flávio Bolsonaro slightly ahead of incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Futura/Apex indicating a tight runoff (Flávio 48%, Lula 42.6%), have driven trader consensus to a near deadlock at 40.6% for Flávio and 39.5% for Lula ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Lula's incumbency advantage is offset by Flávio's consolidation of the right-wing vote as Jair Bolsonaro's endorsed successor, amid economic pressures and Lula's middling approval ratings around 43%. The race remains fluid, with fragmentation among other candidates like Renan Santos boosting top-two odds; separation could arise from upcoming Paraná Pesquisas or Datafolha surveys, major endorsements, scandals, or shifts in key voting blocs before a potential October 25 runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 40.6%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 40%
रेनेट सैंटोस 6.5%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद 4.3%
$51,330,243 वॉल्यूम
$51,330,243 वॉल्यूम
फ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
41%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
40%
रेनेट सैंटोस
7%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
4%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
2%
रोनाल्डो कैiado
2%
रोमू ज़ेमा
2%
जायर बोल्सोनारो
1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
तर्सीसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
रतीन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एडुआर्डो लीटे
<1%
फ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 40.6%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 40%
रेनेट सैंटोस 6.5%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद 4.3%
$51,330,243 वॉल्यूम
$51,330,243 वॉल्यूम
फ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
41%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
40%
रेनेट सैंटोस
7%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
4%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
2%
रोनाल्डो कैiado
2%
रोमू ज़ेमा
2%
जायर बोल्सोनारो
1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
तर्सीसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
रतीन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एडुआर्डो लीटे
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 18, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Genial/Quaest on April 15 showing Flávio Bolsonaro slightly ahead of incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Futura/Apex indicating a tight runoff (Flávio 48%, Lula 42.6%), have driven trader consensus to a near deadlock at 40.6% for Flávio and 39.5% for Lula ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Lula's incumbency advantage is offset by Flávio's consolidation of the right-wing vote as Jair Bolsonaro's endorsed successor, amid economic pressures and Lula's middling approval ratings around 43%. The race remains fluid, with fragmentation among other candidates like Renan Santos boosting top-two odds; separation could arise from upcoming Paraná Pesquisas or Datafolha surveys, major endorsements, scandals, or shifts in key voting blocs before a potential October 25 runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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