Senator Flávio Bolsonaro's slight edge in Polymarket odds over President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva reflects tightening polls over the past two weeks, with first-round surveys like Datafolha (April 7–9) showing Lula at 39% and Flávio at 35%, while runoffs often favor Flávio narrowly, as in Futura (April 7–11: 48%–42.6%) and MDA (April 8–12: 40.2%–44.9%). This razor-thin race persists due to Lula's incumbency and high disapproval amid economic pressures clashing with Flávio's consolidation of the right-wing base through his father's endorsement and opposition unity, leaving high rejection rates for both frontrunners. Separation could arise from party conventions by August, economic data releases, scandals, or shifts in undecided voters ahead of the October 4 first round and potential runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 41.0%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 40%
रेनेट सैंटोस 6.5%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद 4.3%
$51,235,364 वॉल्यूम
$51,235,364 वॉल्यूम
फ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
41%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
40%
रेनेट सैंटोस
6%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
4%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
2%
रोनाल्डो कैiado
2%
रोमू ज़ेमा
1%
जायर बोल्सोनारो
1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
तर्सीसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
रतीन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एडुआर्डो लीटे
<1%
फ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 41.0%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 40%
रेनेट सैंटोस 6.5%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद 4.3%
$51,235,364 वॉल्यूम
$51,235,364 वॉल्यूम
फ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
41%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
40%
रेनेट सैंटोस
6%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
4%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
2%
रोनाल्डो कैiado
2%
रोमू ज़ेमा
1%
जायर बोल्सोनारो
1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
तर्सीसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
रतीन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एडुआर्डो लीटे
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 18, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Senator Flávio Bolsonaro's slight edge in Polymarket odds over President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva reflects tightening polls over the past two weeks, with first-round surveys like Datafolha (April 7–9) showing Lula at 39% and Flávio at 35%, while runoffs often favor Flávio narrowly, as in Futura (April 7–11: 48%–42.6%) and MDA (April 8–12: 40.2%–44.9%). This razor-thin race persists due to Lula's incumbency and high disapproval amid economic pressures clashing with Flávio's consolidation of the right-wing base through his father's endorsement and opposition unity, leaving high rejection rates for both frontrunners. Separation could arise from party conventions by August, economic data releases, scandals, or shifts in undecided voters ahead of the October 4 first round and potential runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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