Trader consensus prices Senator Flávio Bolsonaro slightly ahead of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for the October 4 first-round vote in Brazil's 2026 presidential election, mirroring recent polls like Datafolha and Futura showing Lula's modest first-round lead erased in second-round runoff simulations where Flávio edges or ties him. Lula's incumbency and Workers' Party base are offset by low approval ratings around 44-47%, fueled by cost-of-living squeezes, surging energy prices threatening social programs, and household debt pressures. Flávio has consolidated right-wing opposition as his father's proxy despite Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility. The fragmented field keeps no candidate near 50%, priming a likely runoff; separation could come from June-August party conventions, economic recovery signals, or endorsements from governors like Tarcísio de Freitas.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 41.3%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 40%
रेनेट सैंटोस 6.5%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद 4.3%
$51,201,365 वॉल्यूम
$51,201,365 वॉल्यूम
फ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
41%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
40%
रेनेट सैंटोस
6%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
4%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
2%
रोनाल्डो कैiado
2%
रोमू ज़ेमा
2%
जायर बोल्सोनारो
1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
तर्सीसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
रतीन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एडुआर्डो लीटे
<1%
फ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 41.3%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 40%
रेनेट सैंटोस 6.5%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद 4.3%
$51,201,365 वॉल्यूम
$51,201,365 वॉल्यूम
फ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
41%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
40%
रेनेट सैंटोस
6%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
4%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
2%
रोनाल्डो कैiado
2%
रोमू ज़ेमा
2%
जायर बोल्सोनारो
1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
तर्सीसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
रतीन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एडुआर्डो लीटे
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 18, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Senator Flávio Bolsonaro slightly ahead of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for the October 4 first-round vote in Brazil's 2026 presidential election, mirroring recent polls like Datafolha and Futura showing Lula's modest first-round lead erased in second-round runoff simulations where Flávio edges or ties him. Lula's incumbency and Workers' Party base are offset by low approval ratings around 44-47%, fueled by cost-of-living squeezes, surging energy prices threatening social programs, and household debt pressures. Flávio has consolidated right-wing opposition as his father's proxy despite Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility. The fragmented field keeps no candidate near 50%, priming a likely runoff; separation could come from June-August party conventions, economic recovery signals, or endorsements from governors like Tarcísio de Freitas.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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