Polymarket traders assign a 57.5% implied probability to 0.1-0.3% quarter-on-quarter GDP growth for Germany in Q1 2026, reflecting consensus around subdued expansion amid mixed leading indicators: March manufacturing PMI rose to 52.2, signaling output gains after February's 0.3% industrial production drop, though the composite PMI eased to 51.9 from 53.2, indicating private-sector slowdown. Leading institutes slashed 2026 full-year forecasts to 0.6% from 1.3% on April 1 due to Mideast war supply strains, while IMF cuts to 0.8% underscore caution versus ECB euro-area projections near 1.3%. The 29.3% odds on 0.4-0.6% capture upside risks from fiscal stimulus, with flash GDP data due April 30 poised to catalyze shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाQ1 2026 में जर्मनी की जीडीपी वृद्धि?
Q1 2026 में जर्मनी की जीडीपी वृद्धि?
0.1-0.3% 53%
0.4-0.6% 29.0%
≤0.0% 9.8%
0.7-0.9% 5.0%
$18,755 वॉल्यूम
$18,755 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
≤0.0%
10%
0.1-0.3%
53%
0.4-0.6%
29%
0.7-0.9%
5%
1.0-1.2%
2%
1.3%+
2%
0.1-0.3% 53%
0.4-0.6% 29.0%
≤0.0% 9.8%
0.7-0.9% 5.0%
$18,755 वॉल्यूम
$18,755 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
≤0.0%
$1,144 वॉल्यूम
10%
0.1-0.3%
$1,797 वॉल्यूम
53%
0.4-0.6%
$13,936 वॉल्यूम
29%
0.7-0.9%
$661 वॉल्यूम
5%
1.0-1.2%
$568 वॉल्यूम
2%
1.3%+
$649 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q1 of 2026, expected to be released on April 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Polymarket traders assign a 57.5% implied probability to 0.1-0.3% quarter-on-quarter GDP growth for Germany in Q1 2026, reflecting consensus around subdued expansion amid mixed leading indicators: March manufacturing PMI rose to 52.2, signaling output gains after February's 0.3% industrial production drop, though the composite PMI eased to 51.9 from 53.2, indicating private-sector slowdown. Leading institutes slashed 2026 full-year forecasts to 0.6% from 1.3% on April 1 due to Mideast war supply strains, while IMF cuts to 0.8% underscore caution versus ECB euro-area projections near 1.3%. The 29.3% odds on 0.4-0.6% capture upside risks from fiscal stimulus, with flash GDP data due April 30 poised to catalyze shifts.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q1 of 2026, expected to be released on April 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,755समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:05 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q1 of 2026, expected to be released on April 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Polymarket traders assign a 57.5% implied probability to 0.1-0.3% quarter-on-quarter GDP growth for Germany in Q1 2026, reflecting consensus around subdued expansion amid mixed leading indicators: March manufacturing PMI rose to 52.2, signaling output gains after February's 0.3% industrial production drop, though the composite PMI eased to 51.9 from 53.2, indicating private-sector slowdown. Leading institutes slashed 2026 full-year forecasts to 0.6% from 1.3% on April 1 due to Mideast war supply strains, while IMF cuts to 0.8% underscore caution versus ECB euro-area projections near 1.3%. The 29.3% odds on 0.4-0.6% capture upside risks from fiscal stimulus, with flash GDP data due April 30 poised to catalyze shifts.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q1 of 2026, expected to be released on April 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$18,755समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:05 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a 57.5% implied probability to 0.1-0.3% quarter-on-quarter GDP growth for Germany in Q1 2026, reflecting consensus around subdued expansion amid mixed leading indicators: March manufacturing PMI rose to 52.2, signaling output gains after February's 0.3% industrial production drop, though the composite PMI eased to 51.9 from 53.2, indicating private-sector slowdown. Leading institutes slashed 2026 full-year forecasts to 0.6% from 1.3% on April 1 due to Mideast war supply strains, while IMF cuts to 0.8% underscore caution versus ECB euro-area projections near 1.3%. The 29.3% odds on 0.4-0.6% capture upside risks from fiscal stimulus, with flash GDP data due April 30 poised to catalyze shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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