Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Istanbul's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly around 12.5°C, fueling trader consensus with 37.5% implied probability for 13°C slightly ahead of 36.5% for 12°C amid genuine uncertainty in model outputs. Persistent northerly winds ushering cool continental air from the Black Sea, combined with extensive cloud cover and 60%+ precipitation odds, suppress daytime heating well below mid-April climatological averages of 16°C. Differentiating factors include subtle divergences in cloud evolution—ECMWF leaning cloudier for 12°C potential, GFS hinting minor afternoon clearing toward 13°C—and variable insolation under overcast skies. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and real-time Istanbul Airport (LTBA) observations via NOAA will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
13°C 38%
12°C 36%
14°C 19%
11°C 5%
नया
$11,754 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,754 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
36%
13°C
38%
14°C
19%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 38%
12°C 36%
14°C 19%
11°C 5%
नया
$11,754 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,754 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल, 2026
8°C or below
$1,175 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9°C
$1,361 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$2,096 वॉल्यूम
1%
11°C
$2,203 वॉल्यूम
5%
12°C
$375 वॉल्यूम
36%
13°C
$394 वॉल्यूम
38%
14°C
$304 वॉल्यूम
19%
15°C
$836 वॉल्यूम
5%
16°C
$756 वॉल्यूम
1%
17°C
$1,057 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C or higher
$1,219 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Istanbul's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly around 12.5°C, fueling trader consensus with 37.5% implied probability for 13°C slightly ahead of 36.5% for 12°C amid genuine uncertainty in model outputs. Persistent northerly winds ushering cool continental air from the Black Sea, combined with extensive cloud cover and 60%+ precipitation odds, suppress daytime heating well below mid-April climatological averages of 16°C. Differentiating factors include subtle divergences in cloud evolution—ECMWF leaning cloudier for 12°C potential, GFS hinting minor afternoon clearing toward 13°C—and variable insolation under overcast skies. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and real-time Istanbul Airport (LTBA) observations via NOAA will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,754समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Istanbul's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly around 12.5°C, fueling trader consensus with 37.5% implied probability for 13°C slightly ahead of 36.5% for 12°C amid genuine uncertainty in model outputs. Persistent northerly winds ushering cool continental air from the Black Sea, combined with extensive cloud cover and 60%+ precipitation odds, suppress daytime heating well below mid-April climatological averages of 16°C. Differentiating factors include subtle divergences in cloud evolution—ECMWF leaning cloudier for 12°C potential, GFS hinting minor afternoon clearing toward 13°C—and variable insolation under overcast skies. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and real-time Istanbul Airport (LTBA) observations via NOAA will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$11,754समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Istanbul's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly around 12.5°C, fueling trader consensus with 37.5% implied probability for 13°C slightly ahead of 36.5% for 12°C amid genuine uncertainty in model outputs. Persistent northerly winds ushering cool continental air from the Black Sea, combined with extensive cloud cover and 60%+ precipitation odds, suppress daytime heating well below mid-April climatological averages of 16°C. Differentiating factors include subtle divergences in cloud evolution—ECMWF leaning cloudier for 12°C potential, GFS hinting minor afternoon clearing toward 13°C—and variable insolation under overcast skies. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and real-time Istanbul Airport (LTBA) observations via NOAA will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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