Amid the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war that began with airstrikes on February 28, 2026—including reported assassinations of senior leaders like Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—traders price an 88% chance of no coup attempt by June 30, reflecting IRGC consolidation of de facto control. Early April reports of a "silent coup" saw the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps sideline reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian, forming a military council without overt power seizure or internal rebellion. No verified plots, military fractures, or mass defections have emerged in the past two weeks, bolstered by crackdowns on January protests and war-rallying nationalism. Upcoming escalations like further airstrikes or diplomatic talks could shift dynamics, but current IRGC dominance signals regime stability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$392,571 वॉल्यूम
$392,571 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$392,571 वॉल्यूम
$392,571 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war that began with airstrikes on February 28, 2026—including reported assassinations of senior leaders like Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—traders price an 88% chance of no coup attempt by June 30, reflecting IRGC consolidation of de facto control. Early April reports of a "silent coup" saw the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps sideline reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian, forming a military council without overt power seizure or internal rebellion. No verified plots, military fractures, or mass defections have emerged in the past two weeks, bolstered by crackdowns on January protests and war-rallying nationalism. Upcoming escalations like further airstrikes or diplomatic talks could shift dynamics, but current IRGC dominance signals regime stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$392,571समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war that began with airstrikes on February 28, 2026—including reported assassinations of senior leaders like Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—traders price an 88% chance of no coup attempt by June 30, reflecting IRGC consolidation of de facto control. Early April reports of a "silent coup" saw the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps sideline reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian, forming a military council without overt power seizure or internal rebellion. No verified plots, military fractures, or mass defections have emerged in the past two weeks, bolstered by crackdowns on January protests and war-rallying nationalism. Upcoming escalations like further airstrikes or diplomatic talks could shift dynamics, but current IRGC dominance signals regime stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$392,571समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war that began with airstrikes on February 28, 2026—including reported assassinations of senior leaders like Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—traders price an 88% chance of no coup attempt by June 30, reflecting IRGC consolidation of de facto control. Early April reports of a "silent coup" saw the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps sideline reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian, forming a military council without overt power seizure or internal rebellion. No verified plots, military fractures, or mass defections have emerged in the past two weeks, bolstered by crackdowns on January protests and war-rallying nationalism. Upcoming escalations like further airstrikes or diplomatic talks could shift dynamics, but current IRGC dominance signals regime stability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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