Direct Israel-Lebanon talks launched in Washington on April 14, 2026, aim to secure a durable ceasefire in the war with Hezbollah, which resumed March 2 amid heightened cross-border strikes and Israeli offensives in southern Lebanon. Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem urged Lebanon's government to abandon the negotiations on April 13, rejecting any direct Israeli engagement, while Israeli airstrikes killed at least 10 in recent days, including emergency workers. A fragile US-Iran truce excludes this front, preserving escalation risks from ongoing Hezbollah rocket barrages and Israeli responses. Outcomes hinge on summit progress, potential disarmament demands on Hezbollah, and de-escalation signals before any formal agreement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाइज़राइल x हिज़्बुल्लाह द्वारा संघर्ष विराम...?
इज़राइल x हिज़्बुल्लाह द्वारा संघर्ष विराम...?
$10,447,632 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
15 अप्रैल
3%
30 अप्रैल
71%
30 जून
84%
$10,447,632 वॉल्यूम
15 अप्रैल
$7,067,320 वॉल्यूम
3%
30 अप्रैल
$2,660,261 वॉल्यूम
71%
30 जून
$344,149 वॉल्यूम
84%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.Direct Israel-Lebanon talks launched in Washington on April 14, 2026, aim to secure a durable ceasefire in the war with Hezbollah, which resumed March 2 amid heightened cross-border strikes and Israeli offensives in southern Lebanon. Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem urged Lebanon's government to abandon the negotiations on April 13, rejecting any direct Israeli engagement, while Israeli airstrikes killed at least 10 in recent days, including emergency workers. A fragile US-Iran truce excludes this front, preserving escalation risks from ongoing Hezbollah rocket barrages and Israeli responses. Outcomes hinge on summit progress, potential disarmament demands on Hezbollah, and de-escalation signals before any formal agreement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,447,632समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.Direct Israel-Lebanon talks launched in Washington on April 14, 2026, aim to secure a durable ceasefire in the war with Hezbollah, which resumed March 2 amid heightened cross-border strikes and Israeli offensives in southern Lebanon. Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem urged Lebanon's government to abandon the negotiations on April 13, rejecting any direct Israeli engagement, while Israeli airstrikes killed at least 10 in recent days, including emergency workers. A fragile US-Iran truce excludes this front, preserving escalation risks from ongoing Hezbollah rocket barrages and Israeli responses. Outcomes hinge on summit progress, potential disarmament demands on Hezbollah, and de-escalation signals before any formal agreement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$10,447,632समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Direct Israel-Lebanon talks launched in Washington on April 14, 2026, aim to secure a durable ceasefire in the war with Hezbollah, which resumed March 2 amid heightened cross-border strikes and Israeli offensives in southern Lebanon. Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem urged Lebanon's government to abandon the negotiations on April 13, rejecting any direct Israeli engagement, while Israeli airstrikes killed at least 10 in recent days, including emergency workers. A fragile US-Iran truce excludes this front, preserving escalation risks from ongoing Hezbollah rocket barrages and Israeli responses. Outcomes hinge on summit progress, potential disarmament demands on Hezbollah, and de-escalation signals before any formal agreement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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