Direct Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington concluded recently without halting hostilities, as Israeli strikes targeted southern Lebanon and Hezbollah fired rockets into northern Israel, undermining fragile diplomatic momentum. Israel's security cabinet is deliberating a short-term truce amid the war's resumption on March 2, 2026, following Hezbollah's attacks in support of Iran, while rejecting a broader US-Iran ceasefire that included Lebanon. Hezbollah officials have vowed not to abide by agreements bypassing them, and UN experts condemned ongoing bombings. Traders weigh escalation risks against negotiation breakthroughs, with no major de-escalation signals in the past 48 hours; upcoming cabinet decisions and potential mediators could shift dynamics before any resolution deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाइज़राइल x हिज़्बुल्लाह द्वारा संघर्ष विराम...?
इज़राइल x हिज़्बुल्लाह द्वारा संघर्ष विराम...?
$10,471,311 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
15 अप्रैल
4%
30 अप्रैल
69%
30 जून
84%
$10,471,311 वॉल्यूम
15 अप्रैल
$7,081,310 वॉल्यूम
4%
30 अप्रैल
$2,670,497 वॉल्यूम
69%
30 जून
$344,253 वॉल्यूम
84%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.Direct Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington concluded recently without halting hostilities, as Israeli strikes targeted southern Lebanon and Hezbollah fired rockets into northern Israel, undermining fragile diplomatic momentum. Israel's security cabinet is deliberating a short-term truce amid the war's resumption on March 2, 2026, following Hezbollah's attacks in support of Iran, while rejecting a broader US-Iran ceasefire that included Lebanon. Hezbollah officials have vowed not to abide by agreements bypassing them, and UN experts condemned ongoing bombings. Traders weigh escalation risks against negotiation breakthroughs, with no major de-escalation signals in the past 48 hours; upcoming cabinet decisions and potential mediators could shift dynamics before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 2, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,471,311समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 2, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.Direct Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington concluded recently without halting hostilities, as Israeli strikes targeted southern Lebanon and Hezbollah fired rockets into northern Israel, undermining fragile diplomatic momentum. Israel's security cabinet is deliberating a short-term truce amid the war's resumption on March 2, 2026, following Hezbollah's attacks in support of Iran, while rejecting a broader US-Iran ceasefire that included Lebanon. Hezbollah officials have vowed not to abide by agreements bypassing them, and UN experts condemned ongoing bombings. Traders weigh escalation risks against negotiation breakthroughs, with no major de-escalation signals in the past 48 hours; upcoming cabinet decisions and potential mediators could shift dynamics before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$10,471,311समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 2, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Direct Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington concluded recently without halting hostilities, as Israeli strikes targeted southern Lebanon and Hezbollah fired rockets into northern Israel, undermining fragile diplomatic momentum. Israel's security cabinet is deliberating a short-term truce amid the war's resumption on March 2, 2026, following Hezbollah's attacks in support of Iran, while rejecting a broader US-Iran ceasefire that included Lebanon. Hezbollah officials have vowed not to abide by agreements bypassing them, and UN experts condemned ongoing bombings. Traders weigh escalation risks against negotiation breakthroughs, with no major de-escalation signals in the past 48 hours; upcoming cabinet decisions and potential mediators could shift dynamics before any resolution deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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