In the Los Angeles mayoral primary set for June 2, trader consensus on Polymarket favors City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 43% implied probability, closely trailed by outsider Spencer Pratt at 34% and incumbent Mayor Karen Bass at 22%, reflecting high voter volatility amid 26-40% undecideds in recent UCLA Luskin and Berkeley IGS polls. Bass's unfavorable ratings near 56% stem from persistent homelessness and rising robberies, boosting Pratt's anti-encampment push post-Palisades Fire, while a controversial Loyola Marymount survey gave Raman a surprise lead among informed voters. The top-two advancement system amplifies uncertainty; separation could arise from endorsements, debates, or fresh polling in coming weeks as campaigns target swing voters on public safety and quality-of-life issues.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानित्या रामन 43%
स्पेंसर प्रैट 34%
करेन बैस 21%
राए हुआंग 4.7%
$898,297 वॉल्यूम
$898,297 वॉल्यूम
नित्या रामन
43%
स्पेंसर प्रैट
34%
करेन बैस
21%
राए हुआंग
5%
एडम मिलर
1%
असआद अलनज्जार
1%
जीना वायोला
<1%
ऑस्टिन ब्यूटनर
<1%
मोनिका रोड्रिगेज
<1%
रिक कैरूसो
<1%
लिंडसे होरवाथ
<1%
नित्या रामन 43%
स्पेंसर प्रैट 34%
करेन बैस 21%
राए हुआंग 4.7%
$898,297 वॉल्यूम
$898,297 वॉल्यूम
नित्या रामन
43%
स्पेंसर प्रैट
34%
करेन बैस
21%
राए हुआंग
5%
एडम मिलर
1%
असआद अलनज्जार
1%
जीना वायोला
<1%
ऑस्टिन ब्यूटनर
<1%
मोनिका रोड्रिगेज
<1%
रिक कैरूसो
<1%
लिंडसे होरवाथ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the Los Angeles mayoral primary set for June 2, trader consensus on Polymarket favors City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 43% implied probability, closely trailed by outsider Spencer Pratt at 34% and incumbent Mayor Karen Bass at 22%, reflecting high voter volatility amid 26-40% undecideds in recent UCLA Luskin and Berkeley IGS polls. Bass's unfavorable ratings near 56% stem from persistent homelessness and rising robberies, boosting Pratt's anti-encampment push post-Palisades Fire, while a controversial Loyola Marymount survey gave Raman a surprise lead among informed voters. The top-two advancement system amplifies uncertainty; separation could arise from endorsements, debates, or fresh polling in coming weeks as campaigns target swing voters on public safety and quality-of-life issues.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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